Media Create Prediction League : December 2023 [FINAL RESULTS!]

[Lelouch0612]

Dragon Quest Monsters 3 (28 days)

Plagued by stock issues, DQM3 came out a bit below IB expectations. This is good rebound for Dragon Quest spin-offs. With around 164.000 units over the last 4 weeks of December, the error margin of the IB consensus is a very good 4,9%.

Congrats to @Malden with their excellent 165.000 units prediction, @Smelly and @Rellik are rounding up the podium at #2 and #3 very nicely. In total, only 8 members were below 10% of error margin.

Super Mario Bros. Wonder (28 days)

With an average of 100k units sold per week, Mario Wonder soared well past IB expectations

Congrats to @BTB123 with their excellent 400.000 units prediction, @Astral_lion02 and @Rellik (again) are rounding up the podium at #2 and #3 very nicely. In total, only 7 members were below 10% of error margin.

Momotaro Densetsu: World (28 days)

A lot of range in terms of IB predictions from Momotaro, with some around 100k and others closer to 600k. Overall the game sold 5,6% above the IB consensus with around 318.000 units.

Congrats to @brutaka3 with their excellent 320.000 units prediction, @Chris1964 and @Lelouch0612 are rounding up the podium at #2 and #3 very nicely. In total, 16 members were below 10% of error margin.

 

[Lelouch0612]

Nintendo Switch Hardware (28 days)

Switch hardware came a bit below expectations, with an average of less than 90K/week whereas the IB consensus banked on a 95K/week average. IB consensus is therefore 6,7% too high.

Congrats to @Bodokoh, @Maluigi and @Smelly which are all tied at #1 with their excellent 350.000 units prediction. In total, 18 members were below 10% of error margin.

PS5 hardware (28 days)

Another underperformance for hardware vs IB expectations, with an average of only 42K/week whereas the IB consensus was above 50K/week. Overall the IB consensus was 20,8% too high.

Congrats to @Crjunior35 and @Richter Belmont with their excellent 170.000 units prediction, @Smelly (again!) is rounding up the podium at #3 very nicely. In total, only 7 members were below 10% of error margin.

 

[Lelouch0612]

Congrats to @Smelly for being the top predictor of the month, it is completely deserved as 4/5 of the predictions were extremely close. Shoutout to @Hiska-kun and @Richter Belmont who round up the podium very nicely. It was a pretty great month with 20 predictors below 20% error margin, in addition to the IB Consensus.

Overall the IB consensus was very impressive, at #3 for the month, with a 11,5% error margin on average.

That's a great collective result so thanks & congrats everyone !