Switch million-sellers: gotta list'em all

[ChartsJapan]

The objective of this thread is to try to build collectively the list of every games that reached 1M LTD worldwide on (and only on) Nintendo Switch. The purpose is to update this post every time it is needed. Note that I try to provide sales figures as well and I display the last known figures. So Total Sales figures are a minimum.

I propose to take into account every possible games (even digital only) and to consider distribution figures when provided. For multiplatform games, only Switch figures must be considered.

GAMES PUBLISHED BY NINTENDO
First, let's begin by the easiest: the million sellers published by Nintendo. We have a pretty good idea of this list, thanks to Nintendo Financial results. But we may still miss some of it, as they usually only communicate when a game reach 1M in a given fiscal year. I am aware of the very good installbase thread that list every million sellers published by Nintendo, for every hardware. The scope is a bit different here. Here is the list I have for games that are published (at least somewhere in the world) by Nintendo. For example, Fire Emblem Three Hopes appears here as it is published internationnaly by Nintendo.

#	Title	Total Sales	Source	As of
1​	Mario Kart 8 Deluxe	53,79​	Nintendo IR	March 23
2​	Animal Crossing: New Horizons	41,59​	Nintendo IR	March 23
3​	Super Smash Bros. Ultimate	31,09​	Nintendo IR	March 23
4​	The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild	29,81​	Nintendo IR	March 23
5​	Pokémon Sword / Shield	28,82​	Nintendo IR	March 23
6​	Super Mario Odyssey	25,76​	Nintendo IR	March 23
7​	Pokémon Scarlet / Violet	22,1​	Nintendo IR	March 23
8​	Super Mario Party	19,14​	Nintendo IR	March 23
9​	New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe	15,41​	Nintendo IR	March 23
10​	RingFit Adventure	15,38​	Nintendo IR	March 23
11​	Pokémon: Let's Go Pikachu! / Let's Go Eevee!	15,07​	Nintendo IR	December 22
12​	Pokémon Brilliant Diamond / Shining Pearl	14,92​	Nintendo IR	September 22
13​	Pokémon Legends: Arceus	14,83​	Nintendo IR	March 23
14​	Splatoon 2	13,3​	Nintendo IR	March 22
15​	Luigi's Mansion 3	12,82​	Nintendo IR	March 23
16​	Super Mario 3D World + Bowser’s Fury	11,38​	Nintendo IR	March 23
17​	Splatoon 3	10,67​	Nintendo IR	March 23
18​	Mario Party Superstars	10,17​	Nintendo IR	March 23
19​	The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom	10​	Nintendo PR	May 23
20​	Nintendo Switch Sports	9,6​	Nintendo IR	December 22
21​	Super Mario 3D All-Stars	9,07​	CESA	December 21
22​	Super Mario Maker 2	7,89​	CESA	December 21
23​	Kirby and the Forgotten Land	6,46​	Nintendo IR	March 23
24​	The Legend of Zelda: Link's Awakening	6,08​	CESA	December 21
25​	Mario Tennis Aces	4,28​	CESA	December 21
26​	Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics	4,22​	CESA	December 21
27​	Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze	4,12​	CESA	December 21
28​	Hyrule Warriors: Age of Calamity	4​	Twitter PR	January 22
29​	Kirby Star Allies	3,98​	CESA	December 21
30​	The Legend of Zelda: Skyward Sword	3,91​	CESA	December 21
31​	Fire Emblem: Three Houses	3,82​	CESA	December 21
32​	1 2 Switch	3,63​	CESA	December 21
33​	Paper Mario: The Origami King	3,34​	CESA	December 21
34​	Yoshi's Crafted World	3,01​	CESA	December 21
35​	Metroid Dread	2,9​	Nintendo IR	March 22
36​	New Pokémon Snap	2,74​	Nintendo IR	March 22
37​	Arms	2,66​	CESA	December 21
38​	Mario Strikers: Battle League	2,54​	Nintendo IR	March 23
39​	Xenoblade Chronicles 2	2,44​	CESA	December 21
40​	Mario Golf: Super Rush	2,35​	CESA	December 21
41​	Pikmin 3 Deluxe	2,23​	CESA	December 21
42​	Octopath Traveler	2,16​	CESA/Famitsu	December 21
43​	Captain Toad: Treasure Tracker	2,13​	CESA	December 21
44​	Pokken Tournament DX	2,04​	?
45​	Mario + Rabbids Kingdom Battle	2​	Twitter	September 18
46​	Pokémon Mystery Dungeon: Rescue Team DX	1,89​	CESA	December 21
47​	Xenoblade 3	1,86​	Nintendo IR	March 23
48​	Xenoblade Chronicles: Definitive Edition	1,68​	CESA	December 21
49​	Miitopia	1,68​	CESA	December 21
50​	Fire Emblem Engage	1,61​	Nintendo IR	March 23
51​	Big Brain Academy: Brain vs Brain	1,59​	Nintendo IR	March 22
52​	Mario Kart Live: Home Circuit	1,58​	CESA	December 21
53​	Marvel Ultimate Alliance 3: The Black Order	1,5​	CESA	December 21
54​	Kirby's Return to Dream Land Deluxe	1,46​	Nintendo IR	March 23
55​	Nintendo Labo Toy-Con 01: Variety Kit	1,42​	CESA	December 21
56​	Astral Chain	1,28​	CESA	December 21
57​	WarioWare: Get It Together!	1,27​	Nintendo IR	March 22
58​	Dr Kawashima's Brain Training for Switch	1,2​	CESA	December 21
59​	Metroid Prime Remastered	1,09​	Nintendo IR	March 23
60​	Bayonetta 3	1,07​	Nintendo IR	March 23
61​	Game Builder Garage	1,06​	Nintendo IR	March 22
62​	Bayonetta 2	1,04​	CESA	December 21
63​	Fitness Boxing 2: Rhythm and Exercise	1​	gamebiz	December 21
64​	Fitness Boxing	1​	imagineer	September 20
65​	Shin Megami Tensei V	1​	Atlus	April 22
66​	Fire Emblem Warriors: Three Hopes	1​	Twitter PR	August 22

TOTAL=66

NON-NINTENDO PUBLISHED GAMES
It becomes more complicated as these games often are multiplatform and usually announcements gather every sales.

#	Title	Total_Sales	Source	As of
1​	Monster Hunter Rise	7,7​	Capcom IR	December 21
2​	Minecraft	3,5​	Famitsu / gameindustry	Jan 23/Oct 19
3​	Momotaro Dentetsu: Showa, Heisei, Reiwa Mo Teiban!	3,5​	Twitter PR	March 22
4​	Among Us	3,2​	superDataResearch	December 20
5​	Monster Hunter Generations Ultimate	2.5​	IB post	December 22
6​	Dragon Ball FighterZ	2,01​	CESA	December 21
7​	Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun!	1,89​	CESA	December 21
8​	The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt	1,8​	CD-Projekt IR	March 22
9​	Dragon Ball Xenoverse 2	1,55​	CESA	December 21
10​	Resident Evil: Revelations Collection	1,3​	Capcom IR	December 22
11​	Naruto Shippudden: Ultimate Ninja Storm Trilogy	1,26​	CESA	December 21
12​	Enter the Gungeon	1​	hardcoreGamer	March 19
13​	Thief Simulator	1​	Twitter PR	July 21
14​	Story of Seasons: Pioneers of Olive Town	1​	xseedgame	November 21

CUMULATIVE TOTAL=80


GAMES THAT ARE LIKELY TO BE MILLION SELLERS
The most difficult task arises here. The idea is to list games that are probably million sellers on Switch but nothing was explicitely announced
I begin with a few games I have think of. You can reply to this post with your games and sources and I will update the list or add more recent/releevant information.

Likely?	Title	What we know	Source
Almost Sure	Dragon Quest XI	800k retail NSW in Japan 6.5M WW multiplat in 2021	Link
Almost Sure	Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games Tokyo 2020	900k WW as of March 2020	SEGA IR
Almost Sure	Human fall flat	300k retail NSW in Japan 40M WW multiplat	PR
Almost Sure	Stardew Valley	20M WW including 13M on PC in March 22 By the end of 2017, total multiplat of 3,5M and was the most downloaded game on NSW this year In Oct 19, NSW sales >500k in Europe only	stardewvalley PR eurogamer gameindustry
Almost Sure	Bravely Default 2	By the end of August 2021, 950k before release on PC Multiplat exceeds 1M in December 2021.	rpgsite Twitter PR
Almost Sure	FIFA 23	235K units retail on Switch in France by the end of 2022	SELL Report
Very Likely	Hollow Knight	250k on NSW in 2 weeks after launch 3M WW multiplat as of March 2019	IGN Team Cherry
Very Likely	Triangle strategy	800k after 2 weeks. 1M but after PC release as of end 2022	Twitter PR Twitter PR
Very Likely	Crash Bandicoot Trilogy	In Oct 19, NSW sales >500k in Europe only 10M multiplat by the end of 2018	gameindustry Activision IR
Very Likely	Super Bomberman R	1M multiplat in August 2018 (with release on PS4 and XO only in June 2018) 2M multiplat in March 2021 343k NSW retail in Japan	Twitter PR Twitter PR
Very Likely	Dead Cells	6M multiplat as of November 2021 including 700k early access PC and at least 1M mobile in China Developper said back in August 2019 that sales on Switch were" ridiculous"	Twitter PR nintendolife destructoid
Very Likely	Rayman Legends Definitive Edition	4.5M multiplat as of February 2019 3M player on ranking cup as of February 2023	guinessrecords IB post
Very Likely	Sonic Frontiers	3.2M multiplat as of March 2023	SegaSammy IR
Very Likely	Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba - The Hinokami Chronicles	1.3M as of Dec 2021 without Switch then 2.2m as of June 2022 after its first three weeks of Switch sales. Then 3M multiplat as of March 2023	Youtube PR Famitsu Twitter PR
Very Likely	SnipperClips	350k digital ww as of April 2017 140k retail in Japan as of December 2020	Nintendo IR MC White Book
Very Likely	Little Nightmares	3M WW by Feb 2021 LN, LN2, LN mobile reached 12M WW multiplat	BandaiNamco PR BandaiNamco PR
Very Likely	Little Nightmares II	1M WW multiplat in one month by march 2021 LN, LN2, LN mobile reached 12M WW multiplat	Twitter PR BandaiNamco PR
Likely	Celeste	500k WW multiplat in 2018 (but NSW was the most popular)	Link
Likely	Shovel Knight: Treasure Trove	3M WW as of March 2022. In April 18 : Switch reached 370k (3rd best platform at this moment) when the game surpassed 2M multiplat (but switch release was in 2017 vs 2014)	yachtclubgames PR gameindustry
Likely	Monster Hunter Stories 2: Wings of Ruin	1.7M NSW+ PC as of December 2022	Capcom IR
Likely	Overcooked	500k on Switch as of March 2018 In the top 10 Best-Selling Indie Games On Switch as of March 2018 and March 2019	Nintendo IR Indie_top_2018 Indie_top_2019
Possible	Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin	1M on NSW, PS4, PC as of June 2021	xseedgames
Possible	Story of Seasons: Friends of Mineral Town	1M NSW and PC as of November 2021	xseedgames
Possible	Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy	1.9M PS4, NSW, PC as of December 2022	Capcom IR

CANDIDATE NUMBER=24

MISCELLANEOUS
Actual number: Confirmed Million Sellers (80) + Candidate (24) =103
For comparison sakes, Nintendo confirmed that the Wii had 103 million seller titles and the DS had 139 as of March 2011 (Nintendo IR)
Also, as of December 2022, Nintendo announced having 994M switch games distributed. At this point the known total sales of Million sellers 534M. The only thing we can say, is that there are less than 460 unconfirmed Million Sellers. Of course, it is a very large upper bound^^

TO CONCLUDE
Here we are, I hope you will enjoy it, and that we will be able to fill this list with many games to come. I will try to update this post anytime it is necessary. Do not hesitate to make remarks/comments and to post information about sources, sales figures or anything else I may have missed. And last but not least, if you create or update a "milestone" thread on the site, please post the information here as well. Thank you !


MAJOR SOURCES
Nintendo
CESA + Grady post on installBase
Wikipedia
Number of 3rd Party Million sellers per fiscal year
Indie_top_2018
Indie_top_2019

 

[DCSales]

Stardew Valley is assuredly a million seller on Switch. It recently hit the 20 million milestone and though we don't have a platform breakdown, we do know that 13 million copies were sold on PC, leaving plenty for Switch.

 

[Terrell]

Shovel Knight Treasure Trove is coming in hot on that number.

Back in December 2019, Yacht Club said 25% of all sales of the game were on Switch. Without knowing if that percentage increased or decreased, if you use that and look at how SK:TT was just a little under 3 million units sold as of March 2022, that'd be about 750K sold on Switch at least and would greatly depend on how those percentages look 2 years later. But since Switch was the platform that it was selling the fastest on since launch, the likelihood that the percentage increased is pretty good.

Either way, it's one to watch to see if it crosses the threshold.

 

[Lelouch0612]

Thanks for the thread @ChartsJapan

I'll have a list coming relatively soon but you can already add the FIFA games to the list, as well as the Crash Bandicoot trilogy as likely million-sellers.

Since Nintendo gives a figure for million-sellers per FY, we can cross-reference it that way.

 

[Astrogamer]

You can also include Bravely Default 2 since we know it sold 950k before the PC version. Monster Hunter Stories 2 and Monster Hunter Generations ultimate are in the likely category too.

 

[kamaitachi]

Super Bomberman R should be a million seller. It was ported to other platforms before it hit 1m, then 2m combined so we don't have a confirmation of the Switch version passing 1m alone, but just its confirmed 500k from 2017 + Japanese retail sales since then give us a floor of 790k.

 

[bixente]

There's a lot of games I'm curious about.

Spiritfarer hit 1m Dec 2021, for all platforms. I always see it on the eshop charts. So, I wonder how much it's sold for Thunder Lotus at present?

I'm sure Cult of the Lamb will eventually sell a million, too.

Hades
Dead Cells
Ori 1 and 2
Unpacking

And these.

 

[BTB123]

MHGU is definitely a million seller but we won't ever get official confirmation because they just report combined sales with the 3DS version.
MHS2 is very likely one too, same goes for Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy.

Question @ChartsJapan: When did Nintendo report Brain Training's sales in an IR? CESA has it at 1.2M as of the end of 2021, not 1.5M.

Also small correction, Clubhouse Games is at 4.22M.

 

[Malden]

Witcher 3 probably hit a million on switch. All I could find was this which suggested a 660k launch window.

The Witcher 3 for Switch accounted for 11% of 2019 sales | VGC

While the PC version outsold all others combined…

www.videogameschronicle.com

 

[SkyerIst]

The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt is obviously a million seller on Switch.

 

[enpleinjour]

Witcher 3 probably hit a million on switch. All I could find was this which suggested a 660k launch window.

The Witcher 3 for Switch accounted for 11% of 2019 sales | VGC

While the PC version outsold all others combined…

www.videogameschronicle.com

The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt is obviously a million seller on Switch.

We already got confirmation of W3 sales data by platform from CDPR

Cyberpunk 2077 sales surpass 18 million, The Witcher 3 sales surpass 40 million

https://www.cdprojekt.com/en/wp-content/uploads-en/2022/04/fy-2021-presentation.pdf

www.installbaseforum.com

 

[Kenka]

Thanks for the thread @ChartsJapan

Since Nintendo gives a figure for million-sellers per FY, we can cross-reference it that way.

But the same title can sell a million multiple times over, right? Would auch a title (typically, Stardew Valley and Minecraft) be counted again and again ? If so, then I don't know how precisely we can use that metric.

 

[Raguy]

There are also Ubisoft games millions sellers as Just Dance ip, rayman legends and mario rabbid games.

 

[nakuto]

Regarding Mario + Rabbids Kingdom Battle, ¿Does million of unique players count as sales?

 

[Astrogamer]

Regarding Mario + Rabbids Kingdom Battle, ¿Does million of unique players count as sales?

It depends on the game. The things that add players over sales are used game sales and whenever the game was given for free. Kingdom Battle had a NSO Game Trial in July 2022 so that would inflate player counts. We have the 7.5 million player count in June 2021 so that can serve as a baseline. I'm unsure of how the used game count is for Kingdom Battle but, I think we can say at least 6 million copies sold but, probably higher.

 

[mbolibombo]

Stardew Valley is assuredly a million seller on Switch. It recently hit the 20 million milestone and though we don't have a platform breakdown, we do know that 13 million copies were sold on PC, leaving plenty for Switch.

Back in april 2018 Nintendo mentioned in the yearly briefing that Stardew Valley was almost at a million units sold just 6 months after release - so it's all but confirmed that it reached it in the nearterm.

Also as a bonus they mentioned in the same briefing as SV that Overcooked had sold more than 500k units so that's also one of those titles that most certainly reached 1M units sold.

 

[Lelouch0612]

But the same title can sell a million multiple times over, right? Would auch a title (typically, Stardew Valley and Minecraft) be counted again and again ? If so, then I don't know how precisely we can use that metric.

You are right.

And by using this metric, that would be to guess for every FY the exact titles that fits into that.

 

[Koni]

The objective of this thread is to try to build collectively the list of every games that reached 1M LTD worldwide on (and only on) Nintendo Switch. The purpose is to update this post every time it is needed. Note that I try to provide sales figures as well and I display the last known figures. So Total Sales figures are a minimum.

I propose to take into account every possible games (even digital only) and to consider distribution figures when provided. For multiplatform games, only Switch figures must be considered.

GAMES PUBLISHED BY NINTENDO
First, let's begin by the easiest: the million sellers published by Nintendo. We have a pretty good idea of this list, thanks to Nintendo Financial results. But we may still miss some of it, as they usually only communicate when a game reach 1M in a given fiscal year. I am aware of the very good installbase thread that list every million sellers published by Nintendo, for every hardware. The scope is a bit different here. Here is the list I have for games that are published (at least somewhere in the world) by Nintendo. For example, Fire Emblem Three Hopes appears here as it is published internationnaly by Nintendo.

#	Title	Total Sales	Source
1​	Mario Kart 8 Deluxe	52​	Nintendo IR
2​	Animal Crossing: New Horizons	41,59​	Nintendo IR
3​	Super Smash Bros. Ultimate	30,44​	Nintendo IR
4​	The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild	29​	Nintendo IR
5​	Pokémon Sword / Shield	25,68​	Nintendo IR
6​	Super Mario Odyssey	25,12​	Nintendo IR
7​	Pokémon Scarlet / Violet	20,61​	Nintendo IR
8​	Super Mario Party	18,79​	Nintendo IR
9​	RingFit Adventure	15,22​	Nintendo IR
10​	Pokémon: Let's Go Pikachu! / Let's Go Eevee!	15,07​	Nintendo IR
11​	Pokémon Brilliant Diamond / Shining Pearl	14,92​	Nintendo IR
12​	New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe	14,75​	Nintendo IR
13​	Pokémon Legends: Arceus	14,63​	Nintendo IR
14​	Splatoon 2	13,3​	Nintendo IR
15​	Luigi's Mansion 3	12,44​	Nintendo IR
16​	Super Mario 3D World + Bowser’s Fury	10,82​	Nintendo IR
17​	Splatoon 3	10,13​	Nintendo IR
18​	Mario Party Superstars	9,38​	Nintendo IR
19​	Super Mario 3D All-Stars	9,07​	CESA
20​	Nintendo Switch Sports	8,61​	Nintendo IR
21​	Super Mario Maker 2	7,89​	CESA
22​	Kirby and the Forgotten Land	6,12​	Nintendo IR
23​	The Legend of Zelda: Link's Awakening	6,08​	CESA
24​	Mario Tennis Aces	4,28​	CESA
25​	Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics	4,28​	CESA
26​	Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze	4,12​	CESA
27​	Hyrule Warriors: Age of Calamity	4​	Twitter PR
28​	Kirby Star Allies	3,98​	CESA
29​	The Legend of Zelda: Skyward Sword	3,91​	CESA
30​	Fire Emblem: Three Houses	3,82​	CESA
31​	1 2 Switch	3,63​	CESA
32​	Paper Mario: The Origami King	3,34​	CESA
33​	Yoshi's Crafted World	3,01​	CESA
34​	Metroid Dread	2,9​	Nintendo IR
35​	New Pokémon Snap	2,74​	Nintendo IR
36​	Arms	2,66​	CESA
37​	Mario Strikers: Battle League	2,47​	Nintendo IR
38​	Xenoblade Chronicles 2	2,44​	CESA
39​	Mario Golf: Super Rush	2,35​	CESA
40​	Pikmin 3 Deluxe	2,23​	CESA
41​	Octopath Traveler	2,16​	CESA/Famitsu
42​	Captain Toad: Treasure Tracker	2,13​	CESA
43​	Pokken Tournament DX	2,04​	?
44​	Mario + Rabbids Kingdom Battle	2​	Twitter
45​	Pokémon Mystery Dungeon: Rescue Team DX	1,89​	CESA
46​	Xenoblade 3	1,81​	Nintendo IR
47​	Xenoblade Chronicles: Definitive Edition	1,68​	CESA
48​	Miitopia	1,68​	CESA
49​	Big Brain Academy: Brain vs Brain	1,59​	Nintendo IR
50​	Mario Kart Live: Home Circuit	1,58​	CESA
51​	Marvel Ultimate Alliance 3: The Black Order	1,5​	CESA
52​	Dr Kawashima's Brain Training for Switch	1,5​	Nintendo IR
53​	Nintendo Labo Toy-Con 01: Variety Kit	1,42​	CESA
54​	Astral Chain	1,28​	CESA
55​	WarioWare: Get It Together!	1,27​	Nintendo IR
56​	Game Builder Garage	1,06​	Nintendo IR
57​	Bayonetta 3	1,04​	Nintendo IR
58​	Bayonetta 2	1,04​	CESA
59​	Fitness Boxing 2: Rhythm and Exercise	1​	gamebiz
60​	Fitness Boxing	1​	imagineer
61​	Shin Megami Tensei V	1​	Atlus
62​	Fire Emblem Warriors: Three Hopes	1​	Twitter PR

NON-NINTENDO PUBLISHED GAMES
It becomes more complicated as these games often are multiplatform and usually announcements gather every sales.

#	Title	Total_Sales	Source
1​	Monster Hunter Rise	7,7​	Capcom IR
2​	Minecraft	3,5​	Famitsu / gameindustry
3​	Momotaro Dentetsu: Showa, Heisei, Reiwa Mo Teiban!	3,5​	Twitter PR
4​	Among Us	3,2​	superDataResearch
5​	Dragon Ball FighterZ	2,01​	CESA
6​	Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun!	1,89​	CESA
7​	Dragon Ball Xenoverse 2	1,55​	CESA
8​	Resident Evil: Revelations Collection	1,3​	Capcom IR
9​	Naruto Shippudden: Ultimate Ninja Storm Trilogy	1,26​	CESA
10​	Enter the Gungeon	1​	hadrcoreGamer
11​	Thief Simulator	1​	Twitter PR
12​	Story of Seasons: Pioneers of Olive Town	1​	xseedgame

GAMES THAT ARE LIKELY TO BE MILLION SELLERS
The most difficult task arises here. The idea is to list games that are probably million sellers on Switch but nothing was explicitely announced
I begin with a few games I have think of. You can reply to this post with your games and sources and I will update the list or add more recent/releevant information.

Likely?	Title	What we know	Source
Almost Sure	Dragon Quest XI	800k retail NSW in Japan 6.5M WW multiplat in 2021	https://gamingbolt.com/dragon-quest-11-has-shipped-6-5-million-copies-worldwide
Almost Sure	Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games Tokyo 2020	900k WW as of March 2020	SEGA IR
Almost Sure	Human fall flat	300k retail NSW in Japan 30M WW multiplat	https://www.nintendolife.com/news/2...les_and_new_level_reveal_on_fifth_anniversary
Very Likely	Hollow Knight	250k on NSW in 2 weeks after launch 3M WW multiplat as of March 2019	https://www.ign.com/articles/2018/06/29/hollow-knight-sold-over-250000-copies-on-switch-in-its-first-two-weeks https://web.archive.org/web/20190310231829/http://teamcherry.com.au/hollow-knight-silksong/
Very Likely	Triangle strategy	800M after 2 weeks. 1M but after PC release as of end 2022	https://twitter.com/TRST_PR/status/1504760714816155652 https://twitter.com/TRST_PR/status/1605474401847193601
Likely	Celeste	500k WW multiplat in 2018 (but NSW was the most popular)	https://www.nintendolife.com/news/2018/12/indie_hit_celeste_sold_over_500000_copies_in_2018

TO CONCLUDE
Here we are, I hope you will enjoy it, and that we will be able to fill this list with many games to come. I will try to update this post anytime it is necessary. Do not hesitate to make remarks/comments and to post information about sources, sales figures or anything else I may have missed.

MAJOR SOURCES
Nintendo
CESA + Grady post on installBase
Wikipedia

This is jsut a really good list, man! Definitely coming back to this.

 

[Night]

I have three candidates for the "Likely to be million seller lists":

1. Crash Bandicoot N.Sane Trilogy

From the GamesIndustry.biz report, there are a four third-party games that sold over 500k copies in Europe in 2019:

• Minecraft
• Crash Bandicoot N.Sane Trilogy
• Mario + Rabbids
• Stardew Valley

Since Minecraft and Mario + Rabbids are already the list, and there's plenty of discussion on Stardew Valley above, I'll focus on Crash Bandicoot.
Announced during a Nintendo Direct, it is one of the most requested games on Switch and it wasn't even on the table originally until a lone engineer ported the game's first level to Switch, proving it was feasible to port the entire trilogy. The last reported sales is from Activision's Q4'18 report which mentioned that it sold 10 million units across all platforms, and I would say it is extremely likely that it sold more than a million on Switch alone.

2. Story of Seasons: Friends of Mineral Town

One of the fastest-selling title published by XSEED games for a single platform in North America alongside Rune Factory 4 Special. The game reached 1 million units sold across Switch and PC as of November 2021, as announced by XSEED during their EGS launch of the game.

3. Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin

Initially announced for PS4 and PC, Nintendo reached out to secure a Switch version of the game, and it seems like the right call - launch orders on the Switch was about a 2-to-1 over PS4. The game that was originally planned to sell 30K copies hit 1 million units sold across Switch, PS4 and PC as of June 2021. Since then there were multiple marketing opportunities like spirits appearing in Super Smash Bros Ultimate, and as a DLC in Pioneers of Olive Town, making it a likely candidate to be a million seller.

 

[SergioPL]

The Switch is the system with the most million titles with at last 1 million mark?
In Nintendo ecosystem I think yes, so….

 

[Morisaki]

Very Likely

Triangle strategy

800M after 2 weeks. 1M but after PC release as of end 2022

https://twitter.com/TRST_PR/status/1504760714816155652 https://twitter.com/TRST_PR/status/1605474401847193601

Should be 800k, not 800M

 

[SergioPL]

One thing is certain: Minecraft it’s the best selling third party game on the Switch.
Another games that can achieve 1 million copies: Skyrim, Doom (all off then), and maybe Sega Genesis Collection.

 

[LOCK]

I wish companies would do more positive PR for their sales

 

[dean_rcg]

Maybe a FIFA has by now??

 

[Lelouch0612]

Maybe a FIFA has by now??

Like I mentionned above, most have. They are among the best-selling Switch games each year in Europe.

 

[mazi]

i'm always surprised how that 2 million number for kingdom battle gets posted everywhere and the source is always traced back to a davide soliani tweet about shaving his beard, but then ignoring one of the top replies where he says it had nothing to do with the game's sales. obviously the game game has sold way more than 2 million at this point but this is just a case of a bad source being repeated so much it's accepted as fact.

 

[BTB123]

i'm always surprised how that 2 million number for kingdom battle gets posted everywhere and the source is always traced back to a davide soliani tweet about shaving his beard, but then ignoring one of the top replies where he says it had nothing to do with the game's sales. obviously the game game has sold way more than 2 million at this point but this is just a case of a bad source being repeated so much it's accepted as fact.

It seems like most people don't read past the first tweet and don't understand what btw means.

 

[Flightlessfancies]

I would put the Ace Attorney Trilogy in the likely category as well. The game is sitting at 1.9 million and from the Capcom leak over 2 years ago we know Switch was almost 50% of all sales (and that was before it hit 1 million)

 

[fiendcode]

I would put the Ace Attorney Trilogy in the likely category as well. The game is sitting at 1.9 million and from the Capcom leak over 2 years ago we know Switch was almost 50% of all sales (and that was before it hit 1 million)

Okami HD may be getting close too. It was 600k after around a year and a half going by the Capcom ransomware thing and the top selling console version of the game.

 

[jesusraz]

GAMES THAT ARE LIKELY TO BE MILLION SELLERS
The most difficult task arises here. The idea is to list games that are probably million sellers on Switch but nothing was explicitely announced
I begin with a few games I have think of. You can reply to this post with your games and sources and I will update the list or add more recent/releevant information.

Likely?	Title	What we know	Source
Almost Sure	Dragon Quest XI	800k retail NSW in Japan 6.5M WW multiplat in 2021	https://gamingbolt.com/dragon-quest-11-has-shipped-6-5-million-copies-worldwide

It's been talked about over and over again in the Media Create thread since last year. Here's the latest post. It's not just hit one million, it's actually over 1.3 million by now

 

[SergioPL]

Okami HD may be getting close too. It was 600k after around a year and a half going by the Capcom ransomware thing and the top selling console version of the game.

Deserve every single copie sold.
Awesome game.
The sequel on the Nintendo DS is great too!

 

[Sealife01]

I have no idea about this game but on Amazon Carnival Games for the Nintendo Switch has 22k reviews alone. Anybody have any idea how this game has done and if it could be over one million?

 

[MysticGon]

Gear.Club Unlimited franchise has 1 million between 2 games as of 2 years ago. It's almost always on sale.

Gear.Club Unlimited series surpasses one million copies sold on Switch

The Gear.Club Unlimited franchise has sold over one million copies on Switch, Microids and Eden Games has announced. Gear.Club Unlimited first launched in 2017. A sequel, Gear.Club Unlimited 2, followed in 2018. Both are Switch exclusives. Microids CEO Stéphane Longeard said of the milestone...

nintendoeverything.com

 

[ChartsJapan]

Thanks everyone for your answers, your proposals and you remarks. I will go through all of it gradually

I have just made a few updates :

• Correction of mistakes from the Nintendo table (thanks @BTB123 )
• Addition of The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt to the base of confirmed million sellers (thanks @enpleinjour @SkyerIst @Malden )
• Addition of a column "as of" in the Nintendo Base. Will do the same for the Non-Nintendo one

I still have a lot of games to go through. When you provide sales figures can you please try to provide your sources (when you can), it will make my task much faster.

Thanks again, and let's continue like this !

 

[Lelouch0612]

Looking into Nintendo's financials, here's the number of the million-sellers with a retail release per FY. Only the copies not published by Nintendo are considered 3rd party.

Fiscal Year 2017/2018

12 million-sellers (including 3 from 3rd parties)

- Mario + Rabbids
- FIFA 18 ? Skyrim ?
- Minecraft ? (not counted here because no retail release)

Fiscal Year 2018/2019

23 million-sellers (including 8 from 3rd parties)

- Mario + Rabbids
- Minecraft
- Monster Hunter GU
- FIFA 19 ?
- Crash Bandicoot

Fiscal Year 2019/2020

27 million-sellers (including 9 from 3rd parties)

Fiscal Year 2020/2021

36 million-sellers (including 14 from 3rd parties)

- Monster Hunter Rise

Fiscal Year 2021/2022

39 million-sellers (including 13 from 3rd parties)

- Monster Hunter Rise

Fiscal Year 2022/2023 (1 quarter left)

27+ million-sellers (including 8+ from 3rd parties)

 

[Terrell]

Thanks everyone for your answers, your proposals and you remarks. I will go through all of it gradually

I have just made a few updates :

• Correction of mistakes from the Nintendo table (thanks @BTB123 )
• Addition of The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt to the base of confirmed million sellers (thanks @enpleinjour @SkyerIst @Malden )
• Addition of a column "as of" in the Nintendo Base. Will do the same for the Non-Nintendo one

I still have a lot of games to go through. When you provide sales figures can you please try to provide your sources (when you can), it will make my task much faster.

Thanks again, and let's continue like this !

Thanks for the reminder. Added links, added more context and corrected myself, SK:TT was nearing 3 million as of March 2022, so it’s likely past that now.

 

[BTB123]

Looking into Nintendo's financials, here's the number of the million-sellers with a retail release per FY. Only the copies not published by Nintendo are considered 3rd party.

Fiscal Year 2017/2018

12 million-sellers (including 3 from 3rd parties)

- Mario + Rabbids
- FIFA 18 ? Skyrim ?
- Minecraft ? (not counted here because no retail release)

Fiscal Year 2018/2019

23 million-sellers (including 8 from 3rd parties)

- Mario + Rabbids
- Minecraft
- Monster Hunter GU
- FIFA 19 ?
- Crash Bandicoot

Fiscal Year 2019/2020

27 million-sellers (including 9 from 3rd parties)

Fiscal Year 2020/2021

36 million-sellers (including 14 from 3rd parties)

- Monster Hunter Rise

Fiscal Year 2021/2022

39 million-sellers (including 13 from 3rd parties)

- Monster Hunter Rise

Fiscal Year 2022/2023 (1 quarter left)

27+ million-sellers (including 8+ from 3rd parties)

You can add Just Dance in most of these.

 

[ChartsJapan]

New update:

• Addition of a column "as of" in the Non-Nintendo Base.
• Addition of Stardew Valley to the base of hypothetical million sellers (thanks @DCSales )
• Addition of Bravely default II to the base of hypothetical million sellers (thanks @Astrogamer )
• Addition of Shovel Knight: Treasure Trove to the base of hypothetical million sellers (thanks @Terrell )
• Addition of Crash Bandicoot Trilogy to the base of hypothetical million sellers (thanks @Night )

I will continue this way step by step.

@Lelouch0612 Thanks for your message about the number of 3rd party million sellers in Nintendo FY results. Is it possible to have the detail quarter by quarter in your message? I know it requires some work, but it would be great to have these info. I would add it in the initial post on this topic. That could be use to deduce some million sellers or to have some boundaries to the number it exist (even if some may be counted multipled times). Another point about I am not sure is the fact that full digital games are not taking into account in the Nintendo counting. Does anyone have the source? I remember that it was not clear in the Nintendo presentation (at least to my understanding).

 

[wolftendo]

Is this the most million sellers a Nintendo system has had in a while? What about third party million sellers? Is this the first time a Nintendo system has had this many?

 

[BTB123]

Is this the most million sellers a Nintendo system has had in a while? What about third party million sellers? Is this the first time a Nintendo system has had this many?

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/pdf/2011/110425e.pdf

Here Nintendo confirmed that the Wii had at that point in time 103 million seller titles and the DS had 139.

 

[Kenka]

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/pdf/2011/110425e.pdf

Here Nintendo confirmed that the Wii had at that point in time 103 million seller titles and the DS had 139.

Great find! Thank you a lot

 

[Lelouch0612]

New update:

• Addition of a column "as of" in the Non-Nintendo Base.
• Addition of Stardew Valley to the base of hypothetical million sellers (thanks @DCSales )
• Addition of Bravely default II to the base of hypothetical million sellers (thanks @Astrogamer )
• Addition of Shovel Knight: Treasure Trove to the base of hypothetical million sellers (thanks @Terrell )
• Addition of Crash Bandicoot Trilogy to the base of hypothetical million sellers (thanks @Night )

I will continue this way step by step.

@Lelouch0612 Thanks for your message about the number of 3rd party million sellers in Nintendo FY results. Is it possible to have the detail quarter by quarter in your message? I know it requires some work, but it would be great to have these info. I would add it in the initial post on this topic. That could be use to deduce some million sellers or to have some boundaries to the number it exist (even if some may be counted multipled times). Another point about I am not sure is the fact that full digital games are not taking into account in the Nintendo counting. Does anyone have the source? I remember that it was not clear in the Nintendo presentation (at least to my understanding).

I'll try to do it over the week-end

 

[Astral_lion02]

Relevant:

Top 10 best-selling 3rd party Switch games in the US as of May 2019​

1 - Mario + Rabbids Kingdom Battle
2 - Crash Bandicoot N. Sane Trilogy
3 - Diablo III
4 - Just Dance 2019
5 - Just Dance 2018
6 - LEGO Marvel Super Heroes 2
7 - LEGO Incredibles
8 - NBA 2K18
9 - Monster Hunter Generations Ultimate
10 - FIFA 18

Source: The NPD Group

___

Lots of LEGO games could be ahead of 1M:

- LEGO City Undercover (sold mode than 1M on both Wii U and 3DS, in 2017 LEGO city undercover (all version) sold more than Marvel Super Heroes 2 in the UK, released very early on Switch life).

- LEGO Harry Potter collection (More than 82k retail copies sold in France (on Switch alone, as of jan 2023), very frequent at eshop and UK retail charts).

- LEGO Jurasic World (good presence at eshop and UK retail charts).

 

[mbolibombo]

I know The Battle Cats Unite! has sold more than a million units, but cant find the link right now. But it's confirmed as of september last year, will try to find the confirmation later on.

Overcooked! was over 500k back in early 2018 and should be at a million

Other food for though, back at GDC in march 2019 Nintendo shared the top 10 best selling Indie titles:

Here Are The 10 Best-Selling Indie Games On Switch

Stardew Valley, Hollow Knight, and Overcooked 2 round out the top of the best-selling list.

www.gameinformer.com

Stardew Valley
Hollow Knight
Overcooked 2
Undertale
Dead Cells
Enter the Gungeon
Graceful Explosion Machine
Celeste
Golf Story
Overcooked

At the time, Shovel Knight was confirmed to be at 370K units sold on Switch and it was not on the top 10 list so all the above are confirmed at least at 370K units as of march 2019.

 

[mbolibombo]

Also would like to add another game that hasnt yet been discussed because it's a slamdunk

Disney Dreamlight Valley

Launched in September;
E-shop rank EU

Sep: 1, 6, 15 (3 different SKUs) Ahead of Splatoon 3 on launch month
Oct: 1
Nov: 5
Dec: 5
Jan: 10

Only bested by Pokémon, Switch Sports and Minecraft during the holiday season

 

[ChartsJapan]

You can also include Bravely Default 2 since we know it sold 950k before the PC version. Monster Hunter Stories 2 and Monster Hunter Generations ultimate are in the likely category too.

About Monster Hunter Generation Ultimate, I just found out that :

• Capcom announced that Monster Hunter Generations Ultimate has reached 4.5M (https://www.capcom.co.jp/ir/english/business/million.html#tab3)
• This combines the "Generations Ultimate / XX - Nintendo Switch Ver." from the NSW released on August 2017 and the "XX" version from 3DS released on March 2017
• BUT the XX version has only been released in Japan.
• According to Famitsu 3DS version has reached 1.7M LTD and with wayback Machine, we can also find in capcom platinum page that they distributed 1.8M of MH XX as of September 2017 only on 3DS (https://web.archive.org/web/20180106115333/http://www.capcom.co.jp/ir/english/finance/million.html ). After that it seems that the two entries of the platinum page has been merged.
• The last time it appears in the top 30 Famitsu was in February 2018 (https://sites.google.com/site/gamedatalibrary/games-by-year/2018-weekly). And it didn't make it into the 2018 top 100. So 1.7M seems to be the real LTD in Japan according to Famitsu and 1.8M is probably the definitive distribution figure.
• We can then easily argue that the Switch version represents more than 2.5M of sales

If I am not wrong, I think we have a new confirmed million seller ! What do you think? Did I miss something?

 

[mbolibombo]

About Monster Hunter Generation Ultimate, I just found out that :

• Capcom announced that Monster Hunter Generations Ultimate has reached 4.5M (https://www.capcom.co.jp/ir/english/business/million.html#tab3)
• This combines the "Generations Ultimate / XX - Nintendo Switch Ver." from the NSW released on August 2017 and the "XX" version from 3DS released on March 2017
• BUT the XX version has only been released in Japan.
• According to Famitsu 3DS version has reached 1.7M LTD and with wayback Machine, we can also find in capcom platinum page that they distributed 1.8M of MH XX as of September 2017 only on 3DS (https://web.archive.org/web/20180106115333/http://www.capcom.co.jp/ir/english/finance/million.html ). After that it seems that the two entries of the platinum page has been merged.
• The last time it appears in the top 30 Famitsu was in February 2018 (https://sites.google.com/site/gamedatalibrary/games-by-year/2018-weekly). And it didn't make it into the 2018 top 100. So 1.7M seems to be the real LTD in Japan according to Famitsu and 1.8M is probably the definitive distribution figure.
• We can then easily argue that the Switch version represents more than 2.5M of sales

If I am not wrong, I think we have a new confirmed million seller ! What do you think? Did I miss something?

I have noted in my spreadsheets that we at the old place had MHGU/XX at 1.2M as of 31 December 2018. So with that in mind, I think your calculations are correct.. it's definitely a million seller no matter.

 

[nakuto]

"Doki Doki Literature Club Plus Sells Over 1 Million Units Worldwide" by Noisy Pixel

Doki Doki Literature Club Plus Sells Over 1 Million Units Worldwide; New Monika Art & Creator Message Shared - Noisy Pixel

Developer Team Salvato has announced that their psychological horror visual novel Doki Doki Literature Club Plus has sold over one million...

noisypixel.net

 

[Maluigi]

"Doki Doki Literature Club Plus Sells Over 1 Million Units Worldwide" by Noisy Pixel

Doki Doki Literature Club Plus Sells Over 1 Million Units Worldwide; New Monika Art & Creator Message Shared - Noisy Pixel

Developer Team Salvato has announced that their psychological horror visual novel Doki Doki Literature Club Plus has sold over one million...

noisypixel.net

But it is on five different systems, not only Switch.

 

[SergioPL]

One game that have potential to appearance in this list is Tetris Effect.