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Switch 2 post-tariff price might be $540, first year forecast 15 million (down from 17m, still fastest selling console of all time) - IDC Intelligence

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Top analyst firm DFC Intelligence has issued its first Switch 2 report in the wake of its pricing, and while it’s mostly positive about the console’s prospects, the tariffs are the less-than-good-news part of it.

While DFC says it believes the $450 price is still a good value, and it was less than the $500 they predicted before the pre-tariff global economic conditions, the tariffs now complicate things.

They believe it will lower the overall sales of the Switch 2. Because of pricing concerns, their estimates for 2025 are now 15 million, down from 17 million. Those pricing concerns? They say it’s possible there could be a 20% increase in the price of the Switch 2 over the next two years if these tariffs are maintained. That would put it at $540 in the US. Of course, there is easily the possibility, if not likelihood, PlayStation, Xbox and PC gaming prices could go up for the same tariff-based reasons. DFC says they will continue evolving their forecasts as things change on the ground.

Despite all this, the overall conclusion is the somewhat predictable one that the Switch 2 is likely to be a huge hit, even if sales forecasts are lowered, and it may be the fastest-selling console ever.

www.forbes.com

Analysts Predict Potential, Eventual $540 Switch 2 Price After Tariffs

Experts are starting to chime in that over time, Switch 2 prices may be 20% higher if Nintendo is impacted by tariffs to a significant degree.
www.forbes.com www.forbes.com

Honestly that seems like a far more tempered hit than what I had expected, to both the price and the overall sales. But at the same time, I also understand the difficulty of trying to predict something like theist a time when everything is so uncertain, so I won't hold it against them.
 
Lelouch0612 said:
The article is worth a read but any forecast needs to be taken with a huge grain of salt until we get more clarity on the price.
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Especially with the general cost of living….leisure items could very well be so low on the totem pole for many consumers.
 
All I know is if they hit Canada with the price increase too I'm 100% out. I would have been day 1 and bought tons of Switch games but I'm not eating a huge price jump because America is fucking dumb.
 
Gotdatmoney said:
All I know is if they hit Canada with the price increase too I'm 100% out. I would have been day 1 and bought tons of Switch games but I'm not eating a huge price jump because America is fucking dumb.
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On behalf of my dumbass country, I sincerely apologize.

But I dont think they'll increase the price in Canada, personally, considering the fact that Canadian pre-orders were only delayed recently cause they wished to match the U.S. and not due to tarriffs. Plus other countries have pre-orders open.
 
Koni said:
On behalf of my dumbass country, I sincerely apologize.

But I dont think they'll increase the price in Canada, personally, considering the fact that Canadian pre-orders were only delayed recently cause they wished to match the U.S. and not due to tarriffs. Plus other countries have pre-orders open.
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We'll have to see. It's up to Nintendo whether I buy it. Canada isn't big enough to really matter for decision making. I understand that.

On a fundamental level though, of all the things I am willing to swallow (and honestly it is a lot), a company telling me to pay more for America while it is actively threatening us is a non starter. I have been waiting eagerly for years since the Switch Pro rumours but I wont budge on this.

I wont reward Nintendo with my money for this if they pass the price increase to us.
 
Gotdatmoney said:
We'll have to see. It's up to Nintendo whether I buy it. Canada isn't big enough to really matter for decision making. I understand that.

On a fundamental level though, of all the things I am willing to swallow (and honestly it is a lot), a company telling me to pay more for America while it is actively threatening us is a non starter. I have been waiting eagerly for years since the Switch Pro rumours but I wont budge on this.

I wont reward Nintendo with my money for this if they pass the price increase to us.
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Do it like me, preorder a French unit from Amazon

It’s also about $60 cheaper when all is said and done for the MKW bundle
 
I pre-ordered one from Amazon FR got a cancellation email and then pre-ordered again, not very hopeful it does not get cancelled.
I have confidence that MK and DK will get people to buy it if they can afford it both games (specially DK) looked pretty good.
 
Gotdatmoney said:
We'll have to see. It's up to Nintendo whether I buy it. Canada isn't big enough to really matter for decision making. I understand that.

On a fundamental level though, of all the things I am willing to swallow (and honestly it is a lot), a company telling me to pay more for America while it is actively threatening us is a non starter. I have been waiting eagerly for years since the Switch Pro rumours but I wont budge on this.

I wont reward Nintendo with my money for this if they pass the price increase to us.
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I'm missing something here, why on earth would they add tariffs to Canada?!
 
nobleredone said:
I'm missing something here, why on earth would they add tariffs to Canada?!
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Some folks are of the big-brained ideas that Nintendo would distribute the extra costs of US tariffs onto other countries to artificially keep US retail pricing at an acceptable level and, in the case of Canada and Mexico specifically, to prevent attempts at scalping/imports.
 
Terrell said:
Some folks are of the big-brained ideas that Nintendo would distribute the extra costs of US tariffs onto other countries to artificially keep US retail pricing at an acceptable level and, in the case of Canada and Mexico specifically, to prevent attempts at scalping/imports.
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are these people from the Trump inner circle?
 
I think the only way for Nintendo to go is to increase price in the US, and give away free digital perks like 1 year NSO membership and 2-3 free Switch 1 games with the console. Would lessen the PR blow and make it seem Nintendo is generous even though Trump forced them to increase the price.

Nintendo has a hard balancing act to make here, losing the US market isn't a realistic alternative for them, but if they increase the price in Europe won't be easy, given that PS5 is very strong in Europe and Nintendo needs to build a big install base there as soon as possible to get the momentum going.
 
Aostia82 said:
are these people from the Trump inner circle?
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No. Most are just Americans who don't want to pay more because of Trump. For us who didn't want Trump, I have been voted against him and his irk since he got into politics and so have everyone in my household, it massively sucks. My mom cried both times Trump was elected, and is especially gutted with Trump destroying the DOE as a former school teacher, and I'm glad my grandparents aren't alive to see what this country become. Especially my grandfather who fought against actual Nazi during WW2.

But I'm against spreading the misery to other places that had nothing to do with Trump. We reaped what we sowed. Even us who tried to prevent this.
 
Terrell said:
Some folks are of the big-brained ideas that Nintendo would distribute the extra costs of US tariffs onto other countries to artificially keep US retail pricing at an acceptable level and, in the case of Canada and Mexico specifically, to prevent attempts at scalping/imports.
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The only reason people are panicking is because Nintendo removed preorders for Canada to match the US.

Canada and Mexico are not big enough markets to effectively spread the costs to make up for US tariffs. The retailers can just require ID to purchase contents if necessary. So the thought is likely distribution chain for why the pre orders were pulled.

Do you think there will be a price increase increase in Canada?
 
Gotdatmoney said:
The only reason people are panicking is because Nintendo removed preorders for Canada to match the US.

Canada and Mexico are not big enough markets to effectively spread the costs to make up for US tariffs. The retailers can just require ID to purchase contents if necessary. So the thought is likely distribution chain for why the pre orders were pulled.

Do you think there will be a price increase increase in Canada?
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Absolutely not. Under no circumstances.
 
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