Nintendo France report a total of 535.000 for PS Vita as of late 2016.
I think that Playstation TV was Tracked seperatly to Playstation Vita as an TV console from GEN 7 (that's due to calculation with GEN 7 numbers and given what they do with Switch lite, ):
We have 400k for Germany but it's not reliable, the source show Vgcharz numbers, however we have a figure of 200.000 as of september 2013
Nintendo show these graphs for 2012 hardware sales in europe:
An extrapontion from Nintendo data give 1.16M for PS Vita in Europe in 2012.
This graphs also show how VITA perform across markets for it's first year.
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The numbers above basicly confirm that PS Vita sold more than 10M WW.
So we have at least that as a lock.
Another way to confirm the 10M number is by looking at what Sony officialy provide:
PSP Hardware Sales in:
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
FY
LTD
FY2006
1,4
2,0
4,7
1,5
9,6
23,8
FY2007
2,1
2,5
5,7
3,5
13,8
37,6
FY2008
3,7
3,2
5,1
2,1
14,1
51,7
FY2009
1,3
3,0
4,2
1,4
9,9
61,6
FY2010
1,2
1,5
3,6
1,7
8,0
69,6
FY2011
1,8
1,7
2,4
0,9
6,8
76,4
PSP+PS VITA Hardware Sell in:
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
FY
LTD
FY2012
1,4
1,6
2,7
1,3
7,0
85,2
FY2013
0,6
0,8
2,0
0,7
4,1
89,3
FY2014
0,75
0,7
1,4
0,45
3,3
92,6
PSV+PSP combined sell-in reach 92.6M as of March 2015. If we substrack to that the known LTD of PSP (82.523.607) it give 10.1M for PS Vita.
PSP number is production only and not Sell-in but I doubt Sell-in is enough bellow the reavealed to change much given the cost of unshipped consoles and the fact that negative shipments if they happened are only very tiny amont looking at Nintendo data.
So we can state "around 10M" for PS Vita sell-in as March 2015.
Then for the final number it's harder:
I made an estimate here that give 12M based on Sony 500M PR, what IS known for others consoles.
Problem is that PS2 number of 160M does not reach consensus and data are mixing Sell-in and Sell-through.
Maybe the sell-through of PS3 used by Sony was bellow 87.4M at this moment too and also it's not really definitive as PS Vita was still in production in 2018 and thereforce still selling in the ASIA region.
The 17M number from OP looks too high with all these data, but 12M could be also too low.
Great analysis as always. I wish I had kept better records when I was creating that hardware sales spreadsheet because there are some figures on there (48k for Germany for Q1 2013) that I can no longer find the source on.
I hadn't looked at the PSP + PSV combined sell-in by March 2015 before, which is an interesting way to get to the 10m figure for Vita. There's obviously a bit of leeway in that figure as you mention because sell-in vs. shipped.
I personally don't put much stock in CESA data as it seems to have been way off the mark before (iirc, it had Spanish Vita sales significantly below the 600k reported directly by the Sony exec. Those UK figures seem oddly high to me too, but I suppose it is a big market.
The data I'd love most is SEA, seeing 2k sold in Taiwan in 2018 makes me wonder what it was there from 2012-2017, ditto Singapore and similar markets. There was a push for Vita in China as well alongside PS4 but I'm guessing it didn't gain a great deal of traction.
I think that on balance it's *probably* below Wii-U's 13.56m but likely not by a great deal (~1m or so) which is a testament to how unappealing both products were, but an interesting study in geographical differences (e.g. nearly half of Vita's sales were from Japan which is a long way off for Wii-U where they're just over a quarter).
As a side note, holy crap those PSTV French sales. That machine really failed to gain traction anywhere (I should probably get a spare because they're just going to become rarer and rarer).
Dedice to make a better sumarry of what we have currently for PS Vita:
(snip)
___
The numbers above basicly confirm that PS Vita sold more than 10M WW.
So we have at least that as a lock.
Another way to confirm the 10M number is by looking at what Sony officialy provide:
PSP Hardware Sales in:
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
FY
LTD
FY2006
1,4
2,0
4,7
1,5
9,6
23,8
FY2007
2,1
2,5
5,7
3,5
13,8
37,6
FY2008
3,7
3,2
5,1
2,1
14,1
51,7
FY2009
1,3
3,0
4,2
1,4
9,9
61,6
FY2010
1,2
1,5
3,6
1,7
8,0
69,6
FY2011
1,8
1,7
2,4
0,9
6,8
76,4
PSP+PS VITA Hardware Sell in:
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
FY
LTD
FY2012
1,4
1,6
2,7
1,3
7,0
85,2
FY2013
0,6
0,8
2,0
0,7
4,1
89,3
FY2014
0,75
0,7
1,4
0,45
3,3
92,6
PSV+PSP combined sell-in reach 92.6M as of March 2015. If we substrack to that the known LTD of PSP (82.523.607) it give 10.1M for PS Vita.
PSP number is production only and not Sell-in but I doubt Sell-in is enough bellow the reavealed to change much given the cost of unshipped consoles and the fact that negative shipments if they happened are only very tiny amont looking at Nintendo data.
So we can state "around 10M" for PS Vita sell-in as March 2015.
Vita had shipped 1.8m by March 2012 before Sony started to combine numbers, so if 1.8m get added to the 76.4m of the PSP, we get the necessary 78.2m to arrive at 85.2m with a combined 7.0m a fiscal year later.
By the end of March 2015 Media Create had 3.82m sell-through for Vita in Japan and with a weekly sales rate of 20-30k units at the time, shipments would have been just over 4.00m already. Since we know that sell-through stopped at almost exactly 6m, that would also be pretty much the final shipment number. So that's approximately 2m additional sell-in in Japan alone, essentially confirming 12m minimum worldwide already.
Countries in North America and Europe saw a much steeper drop in Vita sales after March 2015, so the total for all them from April 2015 onwards is almost certainly below 1m units in sell-through as well as shipments. The Vita fared better in South Korea and southeast Asia, but the overall size of these markets isn't particularly big. Nevertheless, it's enough to narrow down my previous range of 12.0-14.0m to 12.5-14.0m, because now I don't consider it realistic in the slightest that the final tally is below 12.5m.
The problem is that it's hard to estimate the stock levels of so many countries by the end of March 2015. It's possible that the stock levels were appropriate, just as it is possible that there was a lot of excess stock at the time. Hence why the range remains rather wide.
I personally don't put much stock in CESA data as it seems to have been way off the mark before (iirc, it had Spanish Vita sales significantly below the 600k reported directly by the Sony exec. Those UK figures seem oddly high to me too, but I suppose it is a big market.
UK is the biggest EU market for consoles hardware, so if France and Spain are at ~600k, UK being over 700k is normal.
They are some consoles (GC, Wii U, 3DS and Switch) that sold more in France than UK but looking at general trend of yearly sales, France is almost always bellow UK in units or revenus.
The unusual thing is more spain being higher than France (It's likely the only console with that).
And that number raised to me the question on how 3DS did in Spain.
Maybe Spain PSV market-share against 3DS in spain is among the highest in the world.
Anyways The reason I use CESA for UK is because hardware data match with what GFK/ERA report untill 2021.
As a side note, holy crap those PSTV French sales. That machine really failed to gain traction anywhere (I should probably get a spare because they're just going to become rarer and rarer).
UK is the biggest EU market for consoles hardware, so if France and Spain are at ~600k, UK being over 700k is normal.
They are some consoles (GC, Wii U, 3DS and Switch) that sold more in France than UK but looking at general trend of yearly sales, France is almost always bellow UK in units or revenus.
The unusual thing is more spain being higher than France (It's likely the only console with that).
And that number raised to me the question on how 3DS did in Spain.
Maybe Spain PSV market-share against 3DS in spain is among the highest in the world.
Anyways The reason I use CESA for UK is because hardware data match with what GFK/ERA report untill 2021.
PS TV was overship in France (and probably in the rest of Europe).
Some peoples get it for only 10€.
Thanks, I actually found the old forum CESA thread so threw together a table using those numbers but subbing in Media Create for Famitsu and Vita comes out at about 11.3m. With Famitsu (which CESA use) instead of Media Create it's about 11m.
It also helped to remind me of some of the issues I had with CESA numbers:
- Spanish Vita sales are way under what James Armstrong reported (600k vs. 430k). I double checked the article and he definitely says "Spain" and not "Iberia" because that would presumably include Portugal as well and would help explain the 170k difference, but nope. French sales are also off what GfK reported (535k vs. 480k) which may just be differing trackers, but just worth highlighting.
- There's some weird anomalies in the data, such as every western market basically seeing the same trajectory (i.e. highest sales in 2012, then slowly tailing off until 2016) with some bucking the trend such as Spain, where presumably the boost in 2014 was Invizimals + slim. But in other markets I don't understand it the same - Italy saw 2012 < 2013 < 2014, Northern Europe went from 50k in 2014 to 0 in 2015 to 10k in 2016.
But anyway, it's the best we have at this point until we get better/more official sources. Combining in the 600k Spain report and the 535k France report I get to about 11.5m and it helps that we've got some other markets covered by this data (nearly all of Europe, Canada).
It's a shame Media Create started reporting markets like South Korea and Taiwan too late for us to make any use of the data for Vita.
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