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Nintendo FY Q1 predictions HW/SW, NSW Sports, MSBL.

Luminoth 4545

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Nintendo Fiscal year Q1 earnings report releases on Wednesday August 3rd.

This thread will focus on the new releases this past quarter as well as total global hardware and total software sold from April 1st to June 30th.

Let’s see who will have the best predictions…. Good luck to all…

New first party release were Nintendo Switch Sports on April 29th and Mario Strikers Battle League on June 10th.

So around 2 months of shipments + digital sales for NSW Sports and 20 days for MSBL.

Here are Nintendo Switch quarterly hardware and software sales for reference.


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Predict the following

[NSW HW]
[NSW SW]
[NSW SP]
[MSBL]


(Anyone can add any bonus game of their choosing below 😊)
 
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I'll go first

[NSW HW] 3.87M
[NSW SW] 44.80M
[NSW SP] 3.29M
[MSBL] 2.13M


Bonus Predictions


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[NSW HW]3.7M
[NSW SW]48M
[MK8D]1.9M
[ACNH]0.85M
[SSBU]0.75M
[BOTW]0.65M
[SMO]0.4M
[SMP]0.2M
[RFA]0.55M
[NSW SP] 3.5M
[MSBL] 1.98M
[Kirby]1.2M
[MPS]1.02M
[PokemonLA] 1.6M
[PokemonSS] 0.4M
[PokemonLG] 0.15M
[PokemonDP] 0.5M
 
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Going to save and edit periodically as to not lose progress as I type

[NSW HW] 4M
[NSW SW] 50M
[NSW SP] 4M
[MSBL] 2.55M

Bonus round: top 10

MK8D: 47M
ACNH: 39.7M
SSBU: 29M
BotW: 27.4M
PSw/Sh: 24.75m
SMO: 24M
SMP: 18.15M
PBD/SP: 15.3M
RFA: 14.85M
PLGP/LGE: 14.71M

Bonus round 2:

MPSS: 8M
KFT: 4M
PLA: 14M
 
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[NSW HW] 3.45M
[NSW SW] 34.56M
[NSW SP] 4.32M
[MSBL] 1.79M

I’ll add more, I’m really interested in Pokémon and Kirby most since Kirby was end of its quarter launch and amazing Europe legs and Legends Arceus same as above as well as compare it to BDSP bad legs
 
Hmmm, just looking at this past games for Pokémon I got this for 2nd quarter….


750k: SM
340k: USUM
630k: LGPE
1310k: SwSh
680k: BDSP

I think PLA will beat all of them with ease. Pla didn’t launch during holiday so left over copies shouldn’t be high imo
 
[NSW HW] 3.45M
[NSW SW] 34.56M
[NSW SP] 4.32M
[MSBL] 1.79M

I’ll add more, I’m really interested in Pokémon and Kirby most since Kirby was end of its quarter launch and amazing Europe legs and Legends Arceus same as above as well as compare it to BDSP bad legs
So you think software will see a big decline yoy, i think this Quarter and overall FY will see a decline in software but i'm hoping for less than a 10% decline.
 
So you think software will see a big decline yoy, i think this Quarter and overall FY will see a decline in software but i'm hoping for less than a 10% decline.

This quarter I just don’t think evergreens did as much but then again maybe digital grew more and games sold well. NSW sports/kirby/msbl should be the highest selling games of the quarter right?
 
[NSW HW] 3.45M
[NSW SW] 34.56M
[NSW SP] 4.32M
[MSBL] 1.79M

I’ll add more, I’m really interested in Pokémon and Kirby most since Kirby was end of its quarter launch and amazing Europe legs and Legends Arceus same as above as well as compare it to BDSP bad legs
You were the closest predictor with hardware (only 0.02m out) but glad you're software was a bit out because that would have been a worrying decline.
 
[NSW HW]3.7M
[NSW SW]48M
[MK8D]1.9M
[ACNH]0.85M
[SSBU]0.75M
[BOTW]0.65M
[SMO]0.4M
[SMP]0.2M
[RFA]0.55M
[NSW SP] 3.5M
[MSBL] 1.98M
[Kirby]1.2M
[MPS]1.02M
[PokemonLA] 1.6M
[PokemonSS] 0.4M
[PokemonLG] 0.15M
[PokemonDP] 0.5M
You were the closest predictor to Mario Sports Battle League, just 0.07m out.
 
Next thread should be fun. Have to do it a month early next time, and yes I'm glad I was way off with software. Nsw sports and Mario strikers did so much better than expected
 
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