Two different systems and different scopes. And the original poster said:
So they were counting the 2009 Wii game.
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Nintendo confirms 2.2 million people applied for the Switch 2 preorder lottery on the Japanese My Nintendo Store
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Two different systems and different scopes. And the original poster said:
So they were counting the 2009 Wii game.
So Nintendo might possibly sell 6M Switches at launch, right out of the gate.
In terms of revenue, that would be enough to eclipse the iPhone 6 launch from 2014: https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2014/09/22First-Weekend-iPhone-Sales-Top-10-Million-Set-New-Record/
For the record, the iPhone 6's launch was international but not global. Some countries could only buy the device later in the year. Still, it would be a monumental occasion if a console manufacturer would launch a new console whose success is superior.
6M units at 400 USD a piece (factoring in the Japanese price) is equal to a 2.4 billion USD revenue.
GTA VI would need to sell 24M copies at 100 USD each to beat that start. That's looking increasingly unlikely.
Edit: yeah, 6M is not happening but what do you think about the actual tally at launch, @Welfare ? Could it actually be higher than 3M?
In terms of revenue, that would be enough to eclipse the iPhone 6 launch from 2014: https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2014/09/22First-Weekend-iPhone-Sales-Top-10-Million-Set-New-Record/
For the record, the iPhone 6's launch was international but not global. Some countries could only buy the device later in the year. Still, it would be a monumental occasion if a console manufacturer would launch a new console whose success is superior.
6M units at 400 USD a piece (factoring in the Japanese price) is equal to a 2.4 billion USD revenue.
GTA VI would need to sell 24M copies at 100 USD each to beat that start. That's looking increasingly unlikely.
Edit: yeah, 6M is not happening but what do you think about the actual tally at launch, @Welfare ? Could it actually be higher than 3M?
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Yes and no. Price of Switch2 is definitely higher than Switch1 in Japan Too, but it doesn’t seem to stop japanese consumers.
In terms of lineup it will be building up even greater momentum than Switch in my opinion
- Mario Kart World absolutly massive in Japan with over 80% attach rate for the year
- Pokemon Legends in the fall
- Donkey Kong, Metroid and likely one other major exclusive title in the fall and two more major games minimum in 2026 from Nintendo/Pokemon
- Indies like Hades II, Silksong, Human Fall Flat 2, Deltarune and many others hoping to find the same success as prior titles by being launch year titles
- AA Japanese treating it as a lead system
- Crossgen AAA late ports
- Evergreens getting updates
Top that off with FOMO of Japanese audience dealing with the fact that for many years they waited in lotteries to get the Switch. If Nintyendo provides a huge amount of systems in the launch year it will easily be beating any prior records for any system in Japan in terms of both SW and HW.
- Mario Kart World absolutly massive in Japan with over 80% attach rate for the year
- Pokemon Legends in the fall
- Donkey Kong, Metroid and likely one other major exclusive title in the fall and two more major games minimum in 2026 from Nintendo/Pokemon
- Indies like Hades II, Silksong, Human Fall Flat 2, Deltarune and many others hoping to find the same success as prior titles by being launch year titles
- AA Japanese treating it as a lead system
- Crossgen AAA late ports
- Evergreens getting updates
Top that off with FOMO of Japanese audience dealing with the fact that for many years they waited in lotteries to get the Switch. If Nintyendo provides a huge amount of systems in the launch year it will easily be beating any prior records for any system in Japan in terms of both SW and HW.
Furukawa's tweet is already at 256K likes and 137K RTs....
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Wait do people really think this 2.2m number is only a small part of total preorders up to this point or something lol
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Also with region lock. This put the demand sales demand to be truly japanese demand with little effect of global scalping.
I wonder about the size of the allocation of Switch 2 units in Japan. Nintendo is crazy popular there, but at the same time its likely the market Nintendo gets lowest profit return on Switch 2 unit sales given the lower price. Will that mean that Nintendo allocates a lot less units to Japan? Or will Nintendo still give Japan a lot of stock?
It won't be a loterry I believe, players with the most active Switch accounts will get priority for preorders on the MyNintendoStore.
That was the case in Europe.
Does anyone have a (reliable) list of the best-selling consoles in their first month on sale?
I'm not talking about the first month of the fiscal year, or the first month under special conditions, or the first fiscal quarter; I'm simply referring to the first calendar month since its launch.
I seem to recall that the Switch sold 2.7 million consoles.
Does anyone have a list of the top 5 or 10 best-selling consoles in history in their first month, with figures, please? Thank you all very much.
I'm not talking about the first month of the fiscal year, or the first month under special conditions, or the first fiscal quarter; I'm simply referring to the first calendar month since its launch.
I seem to recall that the Switch sold 2.7 million consoles.
Does anyone have a list of the top 5 or 10 best-selling consoles in history in their first month, with figures, please? Thank you all very much.
Its mostly tied to the fact that Nintendo seemingly started mass manufacturing months before it normally starts. Nintendo seemingly started mass production in October and releases the Switch 2 in June. That means that Switch 2 is likely to have more launch stock than most if not every previous console launch. If its 4,5 or 6 million launch units is hard to say though.
These are people that signed themselves up on My Nintendo Store to be allowed to preorder it
other retailers are going to open tomorrow: not any person in Japan interested in preordering the console has sign up on My Nintendo Store for sure, so I'm not sure what you are meaning here: it is evident the the people potentially interested in preordering the console in the whole country is bigger than this number
I feel like you are setting yourself up for disappointment.
Its impossible to tell, we know Switch 2 started mass production months before it usually starts before a console launch. It started mass production in October and will launch in June, that is an incredible long period of production before launch. Its impossible for it to not have a bigger launch than say PS5 due to that. If it will be as high as 6 million is hard to say though.
2.2 million? WTF!
For context (launch aligned sales of 3DS, PSV, WIU, PS4 and NSW in Japan; source: Media Create):
EDIT:
Same as above but with Famitsu data:
Taken from:
【月間総括】ソニーの「日本市場を大事にしています」を検証する
まず，前回の記事は大変な反響をいただいた。それを見る限り，日本のゲームユーザーはソニー（SIE）に対して静かな怒りを抱いている方が一定数いることが分かる。ここ数年，ソニー（SIE）は明らかに米国市場…jp.gamesindustry.biz
Does this information exist, but on a global level?
As I said, I'm looking for a (reliable) list of the best-selling consoles in their first month on sale?
I'm not talking about the first month of the fiscal year, or the first month under special conditions, or the first fiscal quarter; I'm simply referring to the first calendar month since its launch.
I seem to recall that the Switch sold 2.7 million consoles.
Does anyone have a list of the record-breaking 5 or 10 best-selling consoles in history in their first month, with figures, please? Thank you all very much.
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That's the leaked figure, around 6m consoles for launch quarter.
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Other places only open on the 24th meaning 100% of preorders (or preorder interest since this is a lottery) up to this point are through the My Nintendo Store. I never said anything about what might happen later, so don't put words in my mouth.
If only Japan contains more than 2.2M preorders, then the worldwide numbers will be huge. Shipping 'only' 4M units ww for the entire June would lead to terrible shorttages
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yes, up to this point
so starting from tomorrow there will be even more people willing to preorder (even if of course there will be overlap with those who joined the My Nintendo Store lottery and anyway not 100% of these people are going to actually buy the console day 1)
There is a big gulf between "bigger launch than PS5" and beating 6 million.
The Switch 2 stock will obviously not be as scarce as the PS5 in the middle of the pandemic, but I really don't see 6 million first month.
This is only true from an outsider's point of view. From jp gamers' standpoint the console's price went up just as much as most other countries. It's only when you change to USD that it becomes more favorable but that is not relevant to people in Japan.
If tomorrow the euro drops half its value compared to the USD it doesn't mean things now cost half as much in Europe.
that's not 2.2M preorders. that's 2.2M lottery entrants. the actual number for MyNintendo will be significantly lower
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Isn’t it just that if you past the minimum playtime requirements you get entered in? I don’t think they prioritize outside of that.
Yeah but 2.2M lottery entrants means that at least 2.2M people are 'interested' in buying a SW2
Gonna be a fun time to those trying to get ahold of one of these things. It seems like no matter how much they prepare demand is simply impossible to meet at launch.
Demand is clearly there. Since they started manufacturing early it's likely they'll be able to supply such an amount. Anything below 5M is unlikely. Their production lines have been going strong for a while now.
What leak exactly? One that says Nintendo plans to have that many ready for launch?
That's basically what happened in Japan yes but Europe was different, top clients got sent an early link to preorder on the MyNintendo store.
Checking it out, US is the same than Japan:
Europe in comparison:
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“Oh, only 2.2 million applied? Guess it’s gonna flop now”
Insane numbers really
The counter arguments I've seen, it's because it's 'cheaper' in Japan compared to the rest of the world.
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Lucky Europe. Well, nothing to do but try to get a pre-order tonight, and if I miss it hope for the lottery.
Given the language lock and all the pre order requirements in Japan, seems it will be the first console in a long time to launch with mostly hardcore gamers being the ones buying it. Those early adopters will be buying a lot of games day 1, especially in Japan.
I would expect that average spending to be even higher in the US. Japanese tie ratio usually starts lower than elsewhere.
They had that with the GameBoy, which lasted from 1989 to around 2010. And the only reason why the GameBoy brand died was because of the DS and they didn't want to used the GameBoy brand in case the DS died in fire.
Week 1? 3-4M. I can see +1M in US, near 1M for Japan, and US+JP are usually ~55% of worldwide Switch sales.
Yes, but there's also Sony Store sales (untracked by Famitsu and co), so nearly 1m.
Media Create Sales: Week 15, 2025 (Apr 07 - Apr 13)
Media Create Sales: Week 15, 2025 (Apr 07 - Apr 13) 01./01. [NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (Nintendo) {2024.10.17} (¥6.480) 02./03. [NSW] Minecraft # (Microsoft Game Studios) {2018.06.21} (¥3.600) 03./02. [PS5] Monster Hunter Wilds # (Capcom) {2025.02.28} (¥9.082) 04./00. [NSW] Mario Kart...
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I was skeptical too, but the lottery is indicative. Let's say there are at least 2 million consumers in Japan interested in buying in the first few days of the console. I imagine there may be as many in Europe. Perhaps 500,000-1,000,000 in the rest of the world? The big question is the U.S. I still don't quite understand what the evolution of the tariff issue is and what impact it will have-if any-on the final price. I would say 6 million in a month is possible, though not certain. However I imagine above 4 million
Interested in buying a Switch 2... At launch. This is impressive in my opinion.
With the complete warzone that were last night's US preorders, these My Nintendo numbers happening in Japan, and the varied levels of intermittent sellouts happening across Europe, I feel like a 6M global June launch could come down to their ability to produce enough units to meet demand more so than the de facto demand itself.
