I personally think that the next piece of hardware is going to be advertised more as a Switch premium model. Have the OG Switch, Lite, and OLED drop $50 this fall. Premium model launches at $400 in Spring 2024. Premium model retains the same form factor, NSO, and can play OG switch titles. The system itself is a full generational upgrade over Switch supporting 4K. Nintendo titles released for the platform are dual release with Switch. 4K versions of MK8D, Splatoon 3, ToTK, BotW, AC, and Smash Bros Ultimate are also released along with DLC upgrades for those who own the Switch version. Some 3rd parties offer dual versions supporting all models, while others release their titles on the switch streaming service for OG Switch users to play if they want. In late 2025, Nintendo drop prices across the board with Switch Lite being $99, OLED replacing OG Switch for $199, and Switch Premium for $349. In early 2027, they release the Switch replacement which doesn’t feature a major power jump but is an entirely different form factor, concept, and gimmick.
Nintendo tends to struggle with major power upgrades as their development team struggles to overcome those challenges which leads to software shortages and the platform’s momentum tanks see N64, GCN, and Wii U. However, their systems that reinvent a form factor and way of playing videogames tend to do well even if they offer marginally better graphics than their predecessor see GB, DS, Wii, and Switch. By releasing a premium Switch 4K they could get adjusted to 4K development so that the Switch replacement doesn’t suffer from software shortages. In addition to that, I don’t believe Nintendo would be willing to risk launching a console in 2024 with it likely being 2028, at the earliest, for the next new 3D Zelda. Not to mention MK8D will have just wrapped up DLC at the end of 2023. I’d imagine a Mario Kart would likely be released near system launch as well and it’d be a bit odd to launch one so soon after wrapping up the DLC. Finally, AC/Splatoon division finished up Splatoon 3 in 2022 with DLC on the way. I wouldn’t expect Animal Crossing till 2025 at the earliest. Nintendo currently is undergoing a number of big transitions such as new development buildings, burgeoning film business, theme parks, and merchandising. I’d say for all of the stated reasons, I think they will advertise this more as a premium model that has some exclusive support as well as other advantages. The OG Switch will still have plenty of support after this system releases. The real Switch successor launches in 2027.
I could see momentum sustained and possibly improved with Tomodachi Collection, 2D Mario, ND Cube title(Animal Crossing minigame board game), F-Zero GX 20 year anniversary HD remaster, and a EPD 4 casual title for the remainder of 2023. DK(launch with Switch 4K), 3D Mario, Dragon Quest 12, Metroid Prime 4, Pokémon Stadium(battle sim with a lot of options and syncs with Home), Pokémon Conquest 2 by K-T, Kid Icarus Uprising remake by Namco, Paper Mario TTYD 20 year anniversary remaster, and Switch Fit Adventure(RFA sequel with balance board) for 2024. Metroid 6, New 2D Zelda, Golden Sun remake by Camelot, Pokémon Gen X, Star Fox by Next Level Games, Mario Party, Wario Land by Good-Feel, new Platinum Games title, and Switch Motor Sports(Sequels to Excitebike, Wave Race, Pilot Wings and Steel Diver with numerous control options for different play styles such as using the ring fit, balance board, and/or joycons) for 2025. Mother trilogy remake, Xenoblade Chronicles X-2, New Fire Emblem, Pikmin 5, Rhythm Heaven, Pokken Tournament 2, Arms 2, Legend of Zelda: Hero of Wind(WW, PH, & ST) HD remaster collection, Metroid Prime 2 Remaster, Game & Wario port, and a Nintendoland port for 2026. 2027, new system launches with new Mario Kart, Animal Crossing, Smash Bros, and 3D Mario in first year among other titles.