Media Create Prediction League : September 2022 [FULL RESULTS !]

[Lelouch0612]

Hello everyone !

While we are still waiting on the final results of August, it is already time to open the September edition of the Prediction League !

We are aiming to host this prediction contest every month, when the release schedule allows it. The rules are simple, you can make and edit your prediction on the following titles until September 11th 23:59 CEST which basically means that as soon the COMG orders chart is updated, you can no longer change your prediction. So don't edit your post after that deadline.

At the end of the month, the results will be shared and the predictors will be ranked by units and %mean error. This is the second yearly edition of this contest already.

The tracked period will be August 29th to October 2nd (5 weeks). I also ask you to respect the following formatting :

[Platform] Full name of the game (number of days accounted) : 100 000

Now let's get things started with the September edition of the Media Create Prediction League !

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) -
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) -
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) -
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) -
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) -

If you have any remarks or suggestions, don't hesitate to share !

Media Create Prediction League : January 2022
Media Create Prediction League : February 2022
Media Create Prediction League : March 2022

 

[Lelouch0612]

2 novelties this month :

- the Prediction League is running for an additional week (since the 1st week of September has no impact on the predictions)
- Predictions for Taiko are for its two first weeks. Given the casual nature of the game, monthly sales might be more representative than launch sales in this case.

 

[Fatih_656]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.611.111
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 117.222
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 52.777
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 103.111
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 70.777

 

[AruanaRiva]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.400.000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 125.000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 60.000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 130.000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 74.000

 

[Smelly]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.700.000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 70.000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 50.000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 100.000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 60.000

 

[Nocturnal]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.899.999
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 113.113
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 63.333
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 111.111
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 59.999

 

[Tbone5189]

Wow what a way to start off with splatoon 3 predictions didn't expect such high numbers off the bat!

Anyway some important numbers, biggest launches on the nsw in japan...

[NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons # <ETC> (Nintendo) {2020.03.20} (¥5.980) - 1.880.626 / NEW <80-100%>

[NSW] Pokemon Legends: Arceus <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2022.01.28} (¥5.980) - 1.424.657 / NEW <80-100%>

[NSW] Pokemon Brilliant Diamond / Shining Pearl # <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2021.11.19} (¥5.980) - 1.395.642 / NEW <60-80%>

[NSW] Pokemon Sword / Shield # <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2019.11.15} (¥5.980) - 1.364.544 / NEW <60-80%>

[NSW] Monster Hunter Rise # <ACT> (Capcom) {2021.03.26} (¥7.990) - 1.302.132 / NEW <94,00%>

[NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate # <FTG> (Nintendo) {2018.12.07} (¥7.200) - 1.238.358 / NEW <60-80%>

 

[Yeshua]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) : 1500000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) : 150000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) : 50000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) : 120000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) : 50000

 

[Spikeylord]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.700.071
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 90,009
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 25,552
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 123,321
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 65,056

BONUS - NSW Hardware (35 days) - 325,523

 

[Chris1964]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.567.890
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 123.456
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 56.789
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 109.876
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 67.890

 

[Tokuiten]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.670.000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 101.000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 32.000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 111.111
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 48.000

 

[Rellik]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.573.000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 89.000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 61.000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 104.000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 48.000

 

[cejuilla]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.888.888
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 89.998
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 48.884
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 99.009
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 56.056

 

[Malden]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.650.000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 95.000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 44.000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 115.000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 60.000

 

[kyo2004]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.956.000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 87.000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 62.000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 119.000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 54.300

 

[The_Liquid_Laser]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1,500,000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 110,000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 40,000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 75,000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 45,000

 

[Eren Jaeger]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.600.000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 100.000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 49.000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 105.000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 70.000

-------------------------------------------------------

[PS4+PS5] Kuro no Kiseki II - Crimson Sin (4 days) - 65.000

 

[Grady]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.600.000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 110.000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 45.000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 100.000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) -65.000

 

[Astrogamer]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.651.000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 81.00
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 43.000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 106.000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 62.000

 

[Tbone5189]

Soooooo... only 1 prediction under 1500k for splat3? I thought we were looking at close to it but not that much over xD

I'll update mine later, but for now...

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.999.999
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 144.444
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 44.444
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 99.666
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 56.789

 

[kamaitachi]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1,330,000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 108,000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 52,000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 90,000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 50,000

 

[Ystad]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.789.000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 96.000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 48.000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 135.000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 39.000

 

[Abzeronow]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1,394,000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 149,000
[PS4 + PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 99,000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 125,000
[PS4 + PS5] Valkyrie Elysium - 50,050

 

[ikaben]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1 450 000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 88 000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 55 000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 98 000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 62 000

 

[PillFencer]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.565.430
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 137.297
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 62.303
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 127.232
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 49.131

 

[Aleh]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.510.000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 89.000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 39.000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 85.000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 59.000

 

[VengefulMagus]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1,459,090
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 129,090
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 39,090
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 119,090
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 49,090

 

[Crjunior35]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1 750 000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 91 000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 49 000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 87 000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) -65 000

 

[YuriCastro]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.777.777
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 145.654
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 46.785
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 119.076
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 47.890

 

[BTB123]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.500.000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 120.000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) 40.000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 115.000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 48.000

 

[Welfare]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1,600,000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 100,000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 50,000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 100,000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 50,000

 

[Agent42]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1,850,000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 120,000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 70,000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 84,000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 65,000

 

[ktpoison]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.782.491
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 123.092
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 41.120
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 135.286
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 58.357

 

[Iraiza]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1660000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 170000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 70000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 114000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 64000

 

[brutaka3]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1690000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 128000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 55000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 103000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 48000

 

[Limabean01]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.399.399
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 101.010
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 49.494
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 87.878
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 59.595

 

[Kenka]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.444.444
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 88.888
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) 55.555
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 88.888
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 77.777

 

[TheSilentWombat]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1,620,000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 107,000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 44,000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 107,000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 59,000

 

[Arynio]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.620.000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 119.000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 48.000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 109.000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 63.000

 

[Blue Monty]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.380.000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 105.000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 50.000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 85.000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 58.000

 

[Joxer]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.530.000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 110.000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 52.000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 91.000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 65.000

 

[Bruno MB]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.290.000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 145.000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 55.000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 80.000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 71.000

 

[Tbone5189]

Less than 24 hours, hurry up and predict you cowards!

 

[Gatsu]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.180.000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 98.000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 72.000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 83.000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 65.000

 

[Lelouch0612]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.470.000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 135.000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 60.000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 122.000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 69.000

 

[MadnB]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.670.000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 117.000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 53.000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 97.000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 57.000

 

[Kenka]

I can smell the roasted squid from here...

 

[Islander]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.320.000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 84.200
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 46.310
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 88.000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 64.000

 

[Deluxury]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1,553,400
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 146,920
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 81,645
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 127,608
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 55,440

What a hell of a month... too many SKUs to keep track.

 

[RavensShade]

[NSW] Splatoon 3 (3 days) - 1.750.000
[NSW] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 118.000
[PS4+PS5] Dragon Quest X Offline (4 days) - 45.000
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin (2 weeks) - 118.000
[PS4+PS5] Valkyrie Elysium (4 days) - 55.000