Media Create Prediction League : October 2024 [CLOSED]

[Lelouch0612]

Hello everyone!

While we are still waiting on the final results of September, it is now time to open the October edition of the Prediction League!

We are aiming to host this prediction contest every month, when the release schedule allows it.

The rules are simple, you can make and edit your prediction on the following titles until October 6th 23:59 CEST which basically means that as soon the COMG orders chart is updated, you can no longer change your prediction. So don't edit your post after that deadline.

At the end of the month, the results will be shared and the predictors will be ranked by units and %mean error. This is now the fourth yearly edition of this contest.

The tracked period will be September 30th to November 3rd (5 weeks). I also ask you to respect the following formatting :

[Platform] Full name of the game (number of days accounted) : 100 000

Now let's get things started with the October Edition of the Media Create Prediction League !

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) -
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) -
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) -
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) -
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) -

New to this year's edition, the top predictors will be rewarded by the following betting coins:

• 1st - 300 coins
• 2nd - 200 coins
• 3rd - 150 coins
• 4th/5th - 100 coins
• 6th to 10th - 50 coins

 

[Tbone5189]

Quick tips

*NSW 5 lowest weeks of the year combined exceed 202k

*Last Mario party

Famitsu Sales: Week 44, 2021 (Oct 25 - Oct 31)

01./00. [NSW] Mario Party Superstars <ETC> (Nintendo) {2021.10.29} (¥5.980) - 163.256 / NEW <40-60%>

 

[Crjunior35]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 34 000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 86 000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 99 000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 70 000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 217 000

 

[SirArthur]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 40.000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 79.000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 115.000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 55.000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 208.000

 

[BoktaiFan]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 47.000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 92.000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 145.000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 65.000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 215.000

 

[mokuroh]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 32.000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 58.000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 111.000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 47.000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 193.000

 

[Aostia82]

Thanks for the topic!
Just a question: why no PS5 hw predictions?

btw

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 38 250
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 78 750
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 117 500
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 59 250
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 208 250

 

[Rellik]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 44.000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 86.000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 161.000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 52.000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 238.000

 

[Lelouch0612]

Thanks for the topic!
Just a question: why no PS5 hw predictions?

Had to make room to the interesting new releases and the current low numbers don't make it a good item to predict (bc the %error margin would be too sensitive to a few thousands units off).

 

[Smelly]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 50.001
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 60.001
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 200.001
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 70.001
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 220.001

 

[BTB123]

What's with the low predictions for Mario Party?

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 35.000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 48.000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 185.000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 70.000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 210.000

 

[Ventinor]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 44,444
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 77,777
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 222,222
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 77,777
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 252,252

 

[Z-Z0]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 50 501
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 99 501
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 175 501
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 60 501
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 240 501

 

[Damage2]

No Silent Hill 2?

 

[Lelouch0612]

No Silent Hill 2?

Lower potential than the others imo, same goes with PowerPro.

 

[Yeshua]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) : 40 000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) : 80 000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) : 110 000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) : 100 000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) : 250 000

 

[Ghostsonplanets]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 46 000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 98 000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 111 000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 67 000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 250 000

 

[Yomi]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) -28 000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 90 000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 150 000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) -50 000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 290 000

 

[Kenka]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 44.444
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 77.777
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 135.791
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 67.890
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 222.222

 

[Malden]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 38.000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 60.000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 200.000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 75.000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 268.000

 

[Levitate]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 50.000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 150.000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 140.000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 50.000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 250.000

 

[Charamiwa]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 70.000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 140.000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 135.000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 50.000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 220.000

 

[Astrogamer]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 62.000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 86.000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 170.000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 72.000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 243.000

 

[Fatih_656]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 45 000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 90 000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 120 000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 60 000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 217 000

 

[Ystad]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 27.999
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 100.002
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 210.000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 69.000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 269.000

 

[ESCK Swiss]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 53 900
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 92 100
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 212 000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 59 600
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 234 800

 

[Josh5890]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 41,000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 105,000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 195,000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 62,000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 259,000

 

[AruanaRiva]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 66,000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 81,000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 250,000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 100,000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 300,000

 

[tobinator]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 52,074
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 148,750
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 302,000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 48,775
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 213,022

Definitely bitter that Sonic x Shadow Generations isn't on here after what Frontiers managed to accomplish. I'll throw in a generous(?) prediction and pray it doesn't pull a Superstars.

[PS5+PS4+NSW] Sonic x Shadow Generations (3 days) - 25,196

 

[Straxet]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 50,000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 93,000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 175,000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 99,000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 240,000

 

[Tbone5189]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 43.210
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 77.777
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 146.890
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 51.510
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 300.300

 

[Joxer]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 45,500
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 66,700
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 180,200
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 47,100
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 242,600

 

[Luke88]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 48,000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 85,000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 140,000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 53,000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 212,000

 

[Fisico]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 45,000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 90,000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 130,000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 60,000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 245,000

Placeholders

 

[moldybreadok]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 41,000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 87,000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 175,000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 62,000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 275,000

 

[ikaben]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 46 000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 78 000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 144 000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 56 000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 228 000

 

[Maluigi]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 32 000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 75 000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 125 000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 56 000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 230 000

 

[tolkir]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 52.474
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 83.362
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 135.673
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 55.141
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 265.268

 

[Eren Jaeger]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 45 000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 145 000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 200 000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 50 000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 220 000

 

[TheSilentWombat]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 49,000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 81,000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 185,000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 62,000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) -250,000

 

[Nocturnal]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 71.111
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 133.222
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 190.700
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 91.100
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 266.000

 

[Iraiza]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 90 000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 143 000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 150 000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 35 000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 200 000

 

[Lelouch0612]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 65.000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 88.000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 160.000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 91.000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 245.000

 

[Bodokoh]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 50.000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 90.000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 145.000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 85.000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 230.000

 

[Bruno MB]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 50.000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 85.000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 150.000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 58.000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 250.000

 

[Damage2]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 58.000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 99.000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 130.000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 78.000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 280.000

 

[kamaitachi]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 45,000
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 98,000
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 110,000
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 60,000
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 250,000

 

[fiendcode]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 45,678
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 76,542
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 123,456
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) -56,789
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 234,567

 

[NinnyKirby]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 64.323
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 100.212
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 149.212
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) -61.212
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) -254.444

 

[Chris1964]

[PS5] Dragon Ball: Sparking Zero (4 days) - 56.789
[PS5+PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio (3 days) - 98.765
[NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (4 days) - 109.876
[PS5+PS4+NSW] Romancing SaGa 2 (4 days) - 54.321
[NSW] Switch hardware (5 weeks) - 234.567