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Media Create Prediction League : November 2022 [Pokémon results !]

Hello everyone !

While we are still waiting on the final results of October, it is already time to open the November edition of the Prediction League !

We are aiming to host this prediction contest every month, when the release schedule allows it. The rules are simple, you can make and edit your prediction on the following titles until November 6th 22:59 CEST which basically means that as soon the COMG orders chart is updated, you can no longer change your prediction. So don't edit your post after that deadline.

At the end of the month, the results will be shared and the predictors will be ranked by units and %mean error. This is the second yearly edition of this contest already.

The tracked period will be October 31st to November 27th (4 weeks). I also ask you to respect the following formatting :

[Platform] Full name of the game (number of days accounted) : 100 000

Now let's get things started with the November edition of the Media Create Prediction League !

[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) -
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) -
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) -
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) -
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) -
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) -

I am mixing things up a bit this month. I am going with the assumption that Nintendo/TPC will share a PR about Pokémon's launch in Japan. If we get it, with numbers at least rounded up to the nearest 100.000, then I'll remove the 6th prediction, the one with the lowest opening number. If we don't get a proper PR, we'll have the top 5 either way.

If you have any remarks or suggestions, don't hesitate to share !

Media Create Prediction League : January 2022
Media Create Prediction League : February 2022
Media Create Prediction League : March 2022
 
Last edited:

YuriCastro

Member
Pronouns
He
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 49,540
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) -55,000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2,100,000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 4,000,000
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 96,000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 387,000
 

Tbone5189

Member
For those that want to know best openings in Japan

[NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons # <ETC> (Nintendo) {2020.03.20} (¥5.980) - 1.880.626 / NEW <80-100%>

[NSW] Pokemon Legends: Arceus <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2022.01.28} (¥5.980) - 1.424.657 / NEW <80-100%>

[NSW] Pokemon Brilliant Diamond / Shining Pearl # <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2021.11.19} (¥5.980) - 1.395.642 / NEW <60-80%>

[NSW] Pokemon Sword / Shield # <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2019.11.15} (¥5.980) - 1.364.544 / NEW <60-80%>

[NSW] Monster Hunter Rise # <ACT> (Capcom) {2021.03.26} (¥7.990) - 1.302.132 / NEW <94,00%>

[NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate # <FTG> (Nintendo) {2018.12.07} (¥7.200) - 1.238.358 / NEW <60-80%>

AND LAST BUT NOT LEAST....

[NSW] Splatoon 3 <ACT> (Nintendo) {2022.09.09} (¥5.980) - 1.934.680 / NEW <80-100%>

(With Digital 3.450.000)
 

Crjunior35

Member
I'll probably edit the numbers next week, but let's go:

[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 30 000
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 26 000
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 50 000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2 250 000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 3 900 000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 395 000
 
Last edited:

Fatih_656

I want a Doner kebab
Member
Pronouns
He
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 32.000
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 30.000
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 40.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 3.000.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 3.600.000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) -500.000
 
Last edited:

Fatih_656

I want a Doner kebab
Member
Pronouns
He
How does pokemon company count double packs? 1 or 2? I want to adjust my first week shipment estimate accordingly
 

Chris1964

Archivist
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 34.567
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 23.456
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 43.210
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2.345.678
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 3.456.789
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 456.789
 
Last edited:

Yeshua

Member
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) : 40 000
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) : 30 000
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) : 40 000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) : 2 300 000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) : 3 500 000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) : 500 000
 
Last edited:

Rellik

Member
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 37.000
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 28.000
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 43.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2.216.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 3.700.000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 462.000
 

Smelly

Member
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 24.999
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 84.999
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 74.999
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2.199.999
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 3.999.999
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 424.999
 

Aleh

«Last Hope»
Member
Pronouns
He/Him
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 40.000
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 45.000
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 40.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2.500.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 3.900.000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 430.000
 

Malden

Member
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 36.000
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 60.000
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 48.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2.250.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 4.500.000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 445.000
 

ikaben

Member
Pronouns
He/him
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 28 000
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 40 000
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) -
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2 100 000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 3 500 000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 390 000
 

kyo2004

The Glitching Soldier...
Member
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 38.400
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 57.200
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 43.920
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2.425.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 4.000.000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 425.000
 

Tbone5189

Member
Nsw hardware W45-48 comparison

2017: 284k
2018: 455k (PokeLGPE)
2019: 636k (PokeSwSh)
2020: 580k
2021: 468k (PokeBDSP)
 

VengefulMagus

Member
Pronouns
he/him
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 33,330
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 22,220
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 44,440
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2,202,200
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 3,303,300
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 444,110
 
Last edited:

Eren Jaeger

Member
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 38 000
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 42 000
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 47 000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2 100 000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 3 600 000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 400 000
 
Last edited:

Abzeronow

Member
Pronouns
he/him
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 36,000
[PS4 + PS5 + NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 75,000
[NSW + PS4 + PS5] Tactics Ogre Reborn (3 days) - 38,000
[NSW] Pokemon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2,101,000
[NSW] Pokemon Scarlet & Violet retail+ digital sales (3 days) - 4,000,001
[NSW] Switch hardware (28 days) - 250,000

 

Spikeylord

Member
Pronouns
He/Him/His
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 54 045
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 47 074
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 57 075
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2 134 312
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 4 156 514
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 450 054
 
Last edited:

Levitate

Member
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 40 000
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 40 000
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 45 000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2 750 000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 4000 000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 500 000
 
Pronouns
He/Him
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 36,500
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 57,000
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 36,500
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2,650,000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 3,850,000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 495,000
 
Last edited:

BTB123

Can't wait for TotK
Member
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 22.000
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 20.000
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 28.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2.100.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) 3.500.000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 470.000
 
Last edited:

Tbone5189

Member
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 37.777
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 19.500
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 38.500
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2.876.543
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) 4.550.000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 616.616
 
Last edited:

Tokuiten

Infected with 'Xenoblade'. 御免なさい🙇‍♀️
Member
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 26.000
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 37.000
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 31.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2.230.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 4.050.000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 427.000
 

Astrogamer

Member
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 27.600
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 49.100
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 38.950
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2.325.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 4.000.000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 445.000
 
Last edited:

AruanaRiva

I will never doubt Harada-sama ever again!!!
Member
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 35.717
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 30.267
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 55.200
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2.435.777
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 3.888.999
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 480.000
 

Ventinor

Member
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 24 242
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 30 000
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 35 000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2 000 000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 3 718 281

[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 555 555
 

TJTree

Member
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 19.000
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 19.000
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 30.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2.000.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 3.500.000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 480.000
 
Last edited:
NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2,100,000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 4,100,000
 

PillFencer

Meat is murder
Member
Pronouns
they/them
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 28.076
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 39.015
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 82.171
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2.216.745
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 3.350.000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 489.550

Bonus
[PS5+PS4] God of War: Ragnarök (5 days) - 45.750
 
Last edited:

Ystad

Member
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 50.000
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 20.000
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 80.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2.500.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 4.000.000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 500.000
 

kamaitachi

Member
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 29,000
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 15,000
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 41,000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2,040,000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 3,500,000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 430,000
 
Last edited:
OP
OP
Lelouch0612

Lelouch0612

Staff
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 43 000
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 25 000
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 63 000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2 850 000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 4 060 000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 500 000
 
Last edited:

Tokuiten

Infected with 'Xenoblade'. 御免なさい🙇‍♀️
Member
@Lelouch0612 ummm.... what do you think your doing with your SV prediction 🤔

Don't make me the bad guy here and make me already make an even more impossible prediction
"I NEED to find out what being Tokuiten feels like!!1"

You absolutely should raise the bar, though, tbone. 3mio FW, come on. Do it. You know you want it. ;>
 

Kenka

Member
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 47,036
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) -31,975
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2,198,765
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 3,703,692
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 78,901
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 432,109
 
Last edited:

Fatih_656

I want a Doner kebab
Member
Pronouns
He
I can't stay away from this.First 3 million prediction is my
Besides, I've been down for a few months already.So no problem with last place :)
 

Damage2

Member
Pronouns
He
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 38 000
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 48 000
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 34 000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2 250 000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 3 660 000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 610 000
 

Bruno MB

Harada wins
Archivist
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 31.000
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 27.000
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 45.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2.100.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 3.200.000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 400.000
 
Last edited:

NinnyKirby

Member
Pronouns
he/him
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 25.000
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 20.000
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 37.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2.200.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 3.400.000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 400.000
 

Bodokoh

Member
Pronouns
He/Him
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 30.000
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 25.000
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 40.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2.400.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 3.600.000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 430.000
 

brutaka3

Member
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 36.000
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 22.000
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 49.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2.100.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 3.300.000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 480.000
 

Nocturnal

Member
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 45.444
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 33.555
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 66.999
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2.221.110
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 3.200.000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 533.222
 

BoktaiFan

Member
Pronouns
He/Him
[NSW] Harvestella (3 days) - 31.000
[PS4+PS5+NSW] Sonic Frontiers (6 days) - 26.000
[NSW+PS4+PS5] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (3 days) - 40.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet (3 days) - 2.500.000
[NSW] Pokémon Scarlet & Violet retail + digital sales (3 days) - 3.500.000
[NSW] Switch Hardware (28 days) - 555.555
 
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