Nocturnal
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These are the market leading third party systems for the past decade, not sure if you would agree with me on the time period but this is how I see it, 3DS was basically the leader for the 2011 to 2015 period this, 2016 is when I would catogorize the PS4 as becoming the leading platform for third parties. It took Switch three years before becoming the leading platform for third parties with 2020 being the start. So at this point of its life I would say that third parties have two exceptionally strong years ahead before they inevitably start to see decline as the Switch enters it's last years on the market.
3DS Top 50 Third Party Titles
PS4 Top 50 Third Party Titles
Switch Top 50 Third Party Titles
3DS TOTAL: 44.370.078
PS4 TOTAL: 19.452.041
NSW TOTAL: 17.691.264
This year Switch's Top 50 Third Party games will catch-up on the PS4,
As this is the likely peak of software sales on the Switch, I would expect another growth year for third parties with the Top 50 reaching at least 25M.
A lot would depend on DQ III Remake & DQ XII release dates and future games that haven't been reveled yet as far as being able to finish close to 3DS.
Third parties need to basically sell 26.67M in the next few years on the Switch in order to challange what they managed on the 3DS.
Obviously this doesn't paint the full picture as a lot of the Top 50 games actually did over 30% of their sales digital.
Top 10 Publishers 3DS:
Top 14 Publishers PS4:
Top 15 Publishers Switch:
Capcom
3DS - 13.963.745
PS4 - 4.592.505
Switch - 2.987.397
TOTAL: 21.543.647
Level 5
3DS - 15.156.138
Switch - 468.311
TOTAL: 15.624.449
Square Enix
3DS- 7.367.144
PS4 - 6.495.010
Switch - 1.474.408
TOTAL: 15.336.562
Bandai Namco
3DS - 3.600.831
Switch - 2.711.080
PS4 - 1.040.171
TOTAL: 7.352.082
Konami
Switch - 3.878.917
PS4 - 1.544.686
TOTAL: 5.423.603
Microsoft
Switch - 3.599.796
TOTAL: 3.599.796
GungHo
3DS - 2.126.757
TOTAL: 2.126.757
Sega
PS4 - 1.297.353
Switch - 806.292
TOTAL: 2.103.645
These are the third party publishers that managed multi-million sales in the past Decade in Japan.
In the coming years as the Switch is the only relevant platform in Japan, I would expect that essentially a lot of these Publishers will be able to score their best results on the Switch. The exceptions look like will be Level 5, Capcom & GungHo who will find it difficult to match how well they were doing on the 3DS.
3DS Top 50 Third Party Titles
- Monster Hunter 4 (Capcom) - 3.591.334
- Yo-kai Watch 2 (Level 5) - 3.169.858
- Monster Hunter Generations (Capcom) - 2.832.833
- Yo-kai Watch 2: Psychic Specters (Level 5) - 2.632.550
- Monster Hunter 4 Ultimate (Capcom) - 2.617.803
- Yo-Kai Watch Busters (Level 5) - 2.167.915
- Monster Hunter 3 Ultimate (Capcom) - 1.941.106
- Dragon Quest XI (Square Enix) - 1.772.911
- Monster Hunter XX (Capcom) - 1.718.052
- Yo-Kai Watch 3 (Level 5) - 1.495.891
- Puzzle & Dragons Z (GungHo) - 1.470.222
- Yo-Kai Watch (Level 5) - 1.294.133
- Dragon Quest VII (Square Enix) - 1.238.660
- Monster Strike (Mixi) - 968.543
- Dragon Quest Monsters (Square Enix) - 921.310
- Dragon Quest VIII (Square Enix) - 864.865
- Dragon Quest Monsters: Joker 3 (Square Enix) - 811.251
- Yo-Kai Watch 3: Sukiyaki (Level 5) - 760.373
- Dragon Quest Monsters 2 (Square Enix) - 751.587
- Run For Money Tousouchuu (Bandai Namco) - 604.430
- Taiko no Tatsujin (Bandai Namco) - 590.132
- Yo-Kai Sangokushi (Level 5) - 563.395
- Disney Magic World (Bandai Namco) - 532.218
- Yo-kai Watch Busters 2 (Level 5) - 520.682
- Inazuma Eleven Go: Light / Shadow (Level 5) - 455.172
- Inazuma Eleven Go: Chrono Stones (Level 5) - 444.100
- Attack on Titan: Humanity in Chains (Spike Chunsoft) - 401.513
- Professor Layton and the Miracle Mask (Level 5) - 396.914
- Bravely Default (Square Enix) - 382.958
- Fantasy Life (Level 5) - 379.211
- Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney - DD (Capcom) - 370.591
- Densetsu no Shinobi no Survival Battle (Bandai Namco) - 365.194
- Kingdom Hearts 3D: Dream Drop Distance (Square Enix) - 357.790
- Professor Layton Vs. Phoenix Wright (Level 5) - 332.292
- Disney Magic World 2 (Bandai Namco) - 332.030
- Puzzle & Dragons X (GungHo) - 330.924
- One Piece: Unlimited Cruise SP (Bandai Namco) - 326.737
- Puzzle & Dragons: Super Mario Bros (GungHo) - 325.611
- Monster Hunter Stories (Capcom) - 316.470
- Resident Evil: Revelations (Capcom) - 302.965
- Dragon Ball Heroes: Ultimate Mission (Bandai Namco) - 299.001
- Inazuma Eleven Go Galaxy (Level 5) - 277.207
- One Piece: Unlimited World Red (Bandai Namco) - 275.546
- Taiko no Tatsujin: Don to Katsu (Bandai Namco) - 275.543
- Ace Attorney - Spirit of Justice (Capcom) - 272.591
- The Snack World: TreJarers (Level 5) - 266.445
- Final Fantasy Explorers (Square Enix) - 265.812
- Harvest Moon: A New Beginning (Marvelous) - 264.042
- Kobito Zukan: Kobito Kansatsu Set (Nippon Columbia) - 262.188
- Shin Megami Tensei IV (Atlus) - 259.177
PS4 Top 50 Third Party Titles
- Monster Hunter: World (Capcom) - 2.575.764
- Dragon Quest XI (Square Enix) - 1.368.698
- Final Fantasy XV (Square Enix) - 1.042.951
- Final Fantasy VII Remake (Square Enix) - 949.379
- Kingdom Hearts III (Square Enix) - 861.226
- Grand Theft Auto V (Take Two) - 753.889
- Monster Hunter: World - Iceborne (Capcom) - 567.989
- NieR: Automata (Square Enix) - 504.605
- Metal Gear Solid V (Konami) - 448.554
- Resident Evil 2 (Capcom) - 418.236
- Dark Souls III (From Software) - 413.021
- Persona 5 (Atlus) - 405.455
- Yakuza 6 (Sega) - 367.965
- Resident Evil 7: biohazard (Capcom) - 365.896
- Rainbow Six: Siege (Ubisoft) - 348.882
- Judgement (Sega) - 347.651
- Dragon Quest Heroes (Square Enix) - 329.934
- Kingdom Hearts HD I.5 + II.5 (Square Enix) - 293.248
- Dragon Quest Heroes II (Square Enix) - 280.542
- Battlefield 1 (EA) - 275.924
- Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice (From Software) - 273.492
- Resident Evil 3 (Capcom) - 269.187
- Yakuza 7 (Sega) - 263.255
- Pro Baseball Spirits 2019 (Konami) - 259.227
- Jikkyou Baseball 2018 (Konami) - 255.850
- Dragon Quest Builders 2 (Square Enix) - 250.316
- Earth Defense Force 5 (D3 Publisher) - 244.159
- Persona 5: Royal (Atlus) - 244.050
- Red Dead Redemption II (Take Two) - 227.842
- Fallout 4 (Bethesda) - 227.749
- Kingdom Hearts HD II.8 (Square Enix) - 224.738
- Tales of Berseria (Bandai Namco) - 220.719
- Ace Combat 7: Skies Unknown (Bandai Namco) - 220.195
- Tales of Arise (Bandai Namco) - 220.122
- Dragon Quest Builders (Square Enix) - 213.581
- Battlefield V (Electronic Arts) - 209.464
- Jikkyou Baseball 2016 (Konami) - 208.867
- Resident Evil Village (Capcom) - 206.312
- Star Wars: Battlefront (Electronic Arts) - 205.653
- God Eater 3 (Bandai Namco) - 203.554
- Yakuza: Kiwami 2 (Sega) - 202.817
- The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt (Spike Chunsoft) - 195.894
- Ghost Recon: Wildlands (Ubisoft) - 195.758
- eBaseball 2020 (Konami) - 189.649
- Devil May Cry V (Capcom) - 189.121
- Winning Eleven 2019 (Konami) - 182.539
- Fist of the North Star (Sega) - 179.315
- Dynasty Warriors 9 (Koei Tecmo) - 176.870
- NieR Replicant (Square Enix) - 175.792
- Gundam Versus (Bandai Namco) - 175.581
Switch Top 50 Third Party Titles
- Momotaro Dentetsu (Konami) - 2.584.176
- Minecraft (Microsoft) - 2.411.591
- Monster Hunter Rise (Capcom) - 2.364.910
- Dragon Quest XI S (Square Enix) - 728.500
- Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun! (Bandai Namco) - 692.069
- Fishing Spirits: Nintendo Switch Version (Bandai Namco) - 668.935
- Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games Tokyo 2020 (Sega) - 417.860
- Hyrule Warriors: Age of Calamity (Koei Tecmo) - 384.970
- Monster Hunter Generations Ultimate (Capcom) - 379.611
- Yo-kai Watch 4 (Level 5) - 358.356
- Super Bomberman R3 (Konami) - 343.098
- eBaseball 2020 (Konami) - 337.625
- Story of Seasons: Pioneers of Olive Town (Marvelous) - 318.331
- Dragon Quest Builders 2 (Square Enix) - 295.237
- Jikkyou Baseball (Konami) - 248.024
- Monster Hunter Stories 2 (Capcom) - 242.876
- Human: Fall Flat (Teyon Japan) - 233.241
- Baseball Spirits 2021 (Konami) - 223.833
- Crayon Shin-Chan (Neos) - 199.646
- Octopath Traveller (Square Enix) - 193.780
- Shin Megami Tensei V (Atlus) - 192.518
- Minecraft Dungeon (Microsoft) - 188.205
- Disney Tsum Tsum Festival (Bandai Namco) - 185.990
- Fitness Boxing 2 (Imagineer) - 181.147
- Dragon Ball: Xenoverse 2 (Bandai Namco) - 181.090
- Fortine (Epic Games) - 167.656
- Story of Seasons: Friends of Mineral Town (Marvelous) - 164.944
- Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin (Marvelous) - 162.232
- Puyo Puyo S (Sega) - 154.573
- Super Dragon Ball Heroes: World Mission (Bandai Namco) - 145.720
- Derby Stallion (Game Addict) - 145.272
- Bravely Default II (Square Enix) - 144.614
- Yu-Gi-Oh! Rush Duel (Konami) - 142.161
- Fitness Boxing (Imagineer) - 141.889
- Rune Factory 5 (Marvelous) - 140.391
- One Piece: Pirate Warriors 4 (Bandai Namco) - 137.513
- Puyo Puyo Tetris 2 (Sega) - 136.803
- FIFA 18 (Electronic Arts) - 122.998
- The Battle Cats (Ponos) - 115.366
- Trials of Mana (Square Enix) - 112.277
- Doraemon: Story of Seasons (Bandai Namco) - 112.104
- Pro Baseball Famista Evolution (Bandai Namco) - 110.954
- The Snack World: TreJarers Gold (Level 5) - 109.955
- Taiko no Tatsujin: RAP (Bandai Namco) - 100.842
- Hatsune Miku: Project Diva MegaMix (Sega) - 97.056
- Super Robot Wars 30 (Bandai Namco) - 96.094
- Little Nightmares 2 (Bandai Namco) – 95.018
- Tsukihime (Aniplex) - 94.462
- Dragon Ball FighterZ (Bandai Namco) - 92.697
- Dragon Ball Z: Kakarot (Bandai Namco) - 92.054
3DS TOTAL: 44.370.078
PS4 TOTAL: 19.452.041
NSW TOTAL: 17.691.264
This year Switch's Top 50 Third Party games will catch-up on the PS4,
As this is the likely peak of software sales on the Switch, I would expect another growth year for third parties with the Top 50 reaching at least 25M.
A lot would depend on DQ III Remake & DQ XII release dates and future games that haven't been reveled yet as far as being able to finish close to 3DS.
Third parties need to basically sell 26.67M in the next few years on the Switch in order to challange what they managed on the 3DS.
Obviously this doesn't paint the full picture as a lot of the Top 50 games actually did over 30% of their sales digital.
Top 10 Publishers 3DS:
- Level 5 - 15.156.138 (34.1%)
- Capcom - 13.963.745 (31.5%)
- Square Enix - 7.367.144 (16.6%)
- Bandai Namco - 3.600.831 (8.1%)
- GungHo - 2.126.757 (4.8%)
- Mixi - 968.543 (2.2%)
- Spike Chunsoft - 401.513 (0.9%)
- Marvelous - 264.042 (0.6%)
- Nippon Columbia - 262.188 (0.6%)
- Atlus - 259.177 (0.6%)
Top 14 Publishers PS4:
- Square Enix - 6.495.010 (33.4%)
- Capcom - 4.592.505 (23.6%)
- Konami - 1.544.686 (7.9%)
- Sega - 1.297.353 (6.7%)
- Bandai Namco - 1.040.171 (5.3%)
- Take Two - 981.731 (5%)
- Electronic Arts - 691.041 (3.5%)
- From Software - 686.513 (3.5%)
- Atlus - 649.505 (3.3%)
- Ubisoft - 544.640 (2.8%)
- D3 Publisher - 244.159 (1.2%)
- Bethesda - 227.749 (1.2%)
- Spike Chunsoft - 195.894 (1%)
- Koei Tecmo - 176.870 (0.9%)
Top 15 Publishers Switch:
- Konami - 3.878.917 (21.9%)
- Microsoft - 3.599.796 (20.3%)
- Capcom - 2.987.397 (16.9%)
- Bandai Namco - 2.711.080 (15.3%)
- Square Enix - 1.474.408 (8.3%)
- Sega - 806.292 (4.6%)
- Marvelous - 645.507 (3.6%)
- Level 5 - 468.311 (2.6%)
- Koei Tecmo - 384.970 (2.2%)
- Imagineer - 323.036 (1.8%)
- Teyon Japan - 233.241 (1.3%)
- Neos - 199.646 (1.1%)
- Atlus - 192.518 (1.1%)
- Epic Games - 167.656 (0.9%)
- Game Addict - 145.272 (0.8%)
Capcom
3DS - 13.963.745
PS4 - 4.592.505
Switch - 2.987.397
TOTAL: 21.543.647
Level 5
3DS - 15.156.138
Switch - 468.311
TOTAL: 15.624.449
Square Enix
3DS- 7.367.144
PS4 - 6.495.010
Switch - 1.474.408
TOTAL: 15.336.562
Bandai Namco
3DS - 3.600.831
Switch - 2.711.080
PS4 - 1.040.171
TOTAL: 7.352.082
Konami
Switch - 3.878.917
PS4 - 1.544.686
TOTAL: 5.423.603
Microsoft
Switch - 3.599.796
TOTAL: 3.599.796
GungHo
3DS - 2.126.757
TOTAL: 2.126.757
Sega
PS4 - 1.297.353
Switch - 806.292
TOTAL: 2.103.645
These are the third party publishers that managed multi-million sales in the past Decade in Japan.
In the coming years as the Switch is the only relevant platform in Japan, I would expect that essentially a lot of these Publishers will be able to score their best results on the Switch. The exceptions look like will be Level 5, Capcom & GungHo who will find it difficult to match how well they were doing on the 3DS.
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