Data on Japanese digital sales

[enpleinjour]

With the recent announcement of ER selling 1M+ in Japan despite a 370k (outdated) sell through on PS4/5 from physical sales, a lot of questions have been raised on the state of digital data in JP.

Do we have further examples to show an insight into digital data in JP. The cases I have:

• FF7R : 700k sold (close to sold out), 1M+ total (PS) => 30+% digital
• P5R : 260k shipped, 400k total (PS) => 35% digital
• 13 sentinels : 120-150k sold/shipped (?), 200k total (PS) => 25-40% digital
• MHW : 2.6M sold (inc Iceborne Master edition), 3.18M total (PS) => 20% digital (35% not inc the master edition)
• Elden Ring - 370k sold, 1M+ total (PS+PC) = ~<60% digital
• EDF6 - 92k sold, 300k total (PS) => ~<70% digital
  • 360K 07/03/23, ~140K sold = ~60% digital
• Falcom - 20% digital on Playstation
• Witcher 3 - 1M total sold (PS+PC), ~400k physical => 50-60% digital
• Disgaea 7 - 50k sold (PS+PC), 23-32K shipped retail => 50-60% digital
• Melty Blood: Type Lumina - 400K sold, 32-40K shipped retail => 90% digital
• Ghost of Tsushima - 1M sold (PS), ~600K retail => 40% digital
• Armored Core 6 - 216k sold (PS), 700K total (PS+PC) = ~70% digital
• Ed-0: Zombie Uprising - 2.48K physical , 1.83K digital (PS) = 42% digital
• YS X - 40% digital (total sales 50% PS5, 30% NSW, 20% PS4)

Nintendo have a special deals program:

• Fire Emblem 3H : 280k sold, 530k total => 47% digital (voucher program)
• Splatoon 3 : 1.935M sold, 3.45M total (80-100% sell through) => 32-44%
• Zelda ToTK : 2.5M total, 1.12 retail sold (60-80% sell through) => 20-40%

One thing to note is variance in the data. The UK market has shown us some titles sell 15% digital while others have up to 80%. Even in the middle bulk, the spread can be 20-30%. Its best not to assume averages unless one has more specific data.

It will be interesting to see the data out there summed in a single thread regardless.

 

[fiendcode]

Astral Chain was also figured to have ~70% digital in Japan based on regional shipments vs packaged sales tracking iirc. I'm sure we can find good ranges for a lot of Nintendo software this way but as mentioned their voucher program has a real impact on this.

Didn't we also figure MH Rise had 30-40% digital based on subtracting tracked sales from the analyst ratio for Japan (over 50% of 7.7m)?

 

[Jaded Alyx]

It would be nice to just get some PC figures at all.

 

[enpleinjour]

• Elden Ring - 370k sold, 1M+ total = ~<60% digital
• EDF6 - 92k sold, 300k total => ~<70% digital

Surprisingly huge ratio for EDF6.

CESA 2021 SIE presentation

• MP = 54% of play time
• F2P = 40%

 

[Tbone5189]

EDF6 retail should be between. 120k-150k with additional shipment and on shelves (especially ps5 version ,right be 15k-20k extra)

Digital should be over 50% though, closer to 60%

 

[Himura Kenshin]

• Elden Ring - 370k sold, 1M+ total = ~<60% digital
• EDF6 - 92k sold, 300k total => ~<70% digital

Surprisingly huge ratio for EDF6.

CESA 2021 SIE presentation

• MP = 54% of play time
• F2P = 40%

Yeah, no question digital percentages are popping off in Japan. It's not often that we have a clear picture, but lately when official data is shared ala EDF/Elden Ring it's been higher than what we know of physical, and not really close.

 

[Jimmy Joe]

Breath of the Wild is sitting at something like 2.09 million tracked physical sales, and about 3.07 total shipment, yeah? Even accounting for untracked physical sales that's, what, ~25-30% digital?

 

[Tbone5189]

Breath of the Wild is sitting at something like 2.09 million tracked physical sales, and about 3.07 total shipment, yeah? Even accounting for untracked physical sales that's, what, ~25-30% digital?

Vouchers made the game jump up from its initial sub 10% digital, and now probably does more than 50% digital weekly now

 

[SkyerIst]

Zelda ToTK : 2.5M total, 1.12 retail sold (60-80% sell through) => 20-40%

We officially know that TotK sold 2,24M retail+digital at launch in Japan. Not shipped.

The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom sells over 10m units worldwide (first 3 days), fastest-selling game in series + Nintendo game in Americas/EU

PR just came out. Fastest-selling game in the series. - over 10 million units sold worldwide between May 12th and May 15th - over 4 million units in the Americas - 2.24 million units sold in Japan - fastest-selling Nintendo Switch game in the Americas AND Europe (source) - fastest-selling...

www.installbaseforum.com

Famitsu reported 1,12M retail sales. That's almost 50% digital at launch, not 20-40%.