No shortage of new releases in October to keep things interesting, that's for sure.
The chart tracking Amazon.ca performance:
Game | Pltfm | Amzn data | 11/28* | 11/29 | 12/04 | | | |
|---|
Xenoblade X DE | NSW | 30d total | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | |
DKC Returns HD | NSW | 30d total | 50+ | 50+ | 100+ | | | |
M&L Brothership | NSW | Top 100 YTD | 88 | 84 | 68 | | | |
| | 30d total | 3000+ | 4000+ | 4000+ | | | |
SMP Jamboree | NSW | Top 100 YTD | 13 | 13 | 13 | | | |
| | 30d total | 5000+ | 5000+ | 4000+ | | | |
LoZ: Echoes of Wisdom | NSW | Top 100 YTD | 9 | 7 | 7 | | | |
| | 30d total | 3000+ | 4000+ | 5000+ | | | |
MGS Δ: Snake Eater | PS5/XBS | 30d total | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | |
Monster Hunter Wilds | PS5/XBS | 30d total | 100+ | 100+ | 100+ | | | |
Pirate Yakuza in Hawaii | PS/XB | 30d total | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | |
Assassin's Creed Shadows | PS5/XBS | 30d total | 50+ | 50+ | 100+ | | | |
Dragon Quest III HD-2D | NSW | 30d total | 600+ | 700+ | 700+ | | | |
| PS5/XBS | 30d total | 300+ | 300+ | 300+ | | | |
Dragon Age: The Veilguard | PS5/XBS | 30d total | 700+ | 600+ | 500+ | | | |
Dragon Ball Sparking Zero | PS5/XBS | 30d total | 650+ | 1150+** | 1150+** | | | |
Metaphor: ReFantazio | PS5/XBS | 30d total | 750+** | 950+** | 1100+** | | | |
Silent Hill 2 | PS5 | 30d total | 1000+** | 1000+**† | 1000+**† | | | |
FFI-VI Collection Ann. Ed. | NSW | 30d total | 900+** | 1000+** | 1000+** | | | |
| PS4 | 30d total | 400+** | 400+** | 500+** | | | |
Astro Bot | PS5 | Top 100 YTD | 55 | 54 | 54 | | | |
| | 30d total | 3000+** | 3000+** | 3000+**† | | | |
* last recorded data from previous month, see prior month for more data
† Not in stock at Amazon warehouses, sales data pulled from listing, will continue from last recorded value
** Sales increase from large discount (AB: 20% off, FFColl 30% off, Metaphor 22% off, SH2 & DBSZ 33% off)
We don't have much new to learn from MvC Collection, so out it goes. Again,
if you think I need to add something to tracking, let me know and I will track it so long as the data is there.
How'd I do last month?
- To get it out of the way, I expect NHL 25 and BLOPS6 to duke it out for #1 in the October ESAC chart, it's impossible to know just which will come out on top, but if I had to give it a guess, I'd say BLOPS6 at #1, due to the shamefully heavy early access buyers for NHL 25
- Jamboree is gonna hit the chart pretty high with its launch performance, but without digital figures, I'm expecting it to fall behind other titles on the October ESAC chart due to lower pre-orders than we saw with EoW and more software launches to compete with, so I'm expecting between 4th and 7th for right now until I see the 30-day post-launch data
- EDIT (11/21): Jamboree kept sales exceptionally high in November outside of the 30 days since launch, so revising my prediction for October to 3rd-5th, and adding that it will likely place in November’s ESAC above Brothership (I think 5th to 7th) given how the sales decline post-launch was SO minimal and was selling so many copies
- Now that it's launched and we can see how it's performing at retail, SH2R is gonna chart, if I were to guess, I'd say middle of the pack
like with Jamboree
- Metaphor performed quite well, but in an environment of strong competition and the way some frequent flyers on these charts are performing right now, I need to know how its sales held outside the 30-day period from launch to see if there was a fair bit of post-launch buyers before I could place it
- EDIT (11/15): It appears to have held somewhere closer to half of its peak sales so far a fair bit outside the launch period, so it held pretty good, it’ll place below Jamboree and SH2R, I’d estimate 6th at best, 8th at worst
- DB Sparking Zero is gonna put the other games I just mentioned to shame based on Amazon.ca sales, absolutely expecting 3rd or 4th is in reach
- Veilguard looks like a pretty big whiff, NGL, not expecting much of anything, but PC might prove me wrong (seems doubtful, but we'll see)
- Based on how fierce the competition is for October, FF Anniversary Collection hitting the chart seems shakier, but if it does, it'll be a low ESAC chart position
- EoW had a soft post-launch landing in November, which tells me it kept selling well enough to possibly get a repeat appearance in the ESAC Top 10 for October, but near the bottom (9th or 10th)
- Brothership pre-orders really didn't improve much until the week before launch, so in a super-competitive sales environment, I'm expecting it to post 6th to 8th in November at the moment, but I still need to see the launch sales to really give confidence
- As of right now, DQIIIR and MvC need to show me more sales traction if they've got any hope of the November ESAC chart
- EDIT (11/15): DQIIIR might have a chance at 9th or 10th for the November chart if it keeps its current pace
Seems I was wrong about NHL 25, guess the majority of launch buyers went for the early access and it inched Sparking Zero up 1 position from what was predicted; Jamboree was on the high end of my prediction; SH2 hit middle of the pack; Metaphor fell square in the middle of the prediction range; EoW made it to the chart exactly like I thought it would; FF Collection missed the chart, not unexpected.
It was all nearly like I figured things would shake out.
Nearly.
But Veilguard... Amazon was indeed a very poor tool for gauging sales here, and with Steam out of the picture... EA's own PC store must've put in a
hell of a lot of work here.
I'll update predictions for November and beyond later, I'm oddly quite tired rn.
theesa.ca
