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Canada - ESAC/Circana Top 10 October 2023 [Spider-Man 2 #1, NHL 24 #2, SMBW #3, ACMirage #4]

Terrell

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OCTOBER 2023 TOP 10 RANKING
RankPrevNameNot Including...
1NEWMarvel's Spider-Man 2
2NEWEA Sports NHL 24Steam digital
3NEWSuper Mario Bros. WonderDigital
4NEWAssassin's Creed Mirage
52EA Sports FC 24Steam digital
6NEWEA Sports UFC 5Steam digital
73Mortal Kombat 1
86EA Sports Madden NFL 24Steam digital
97Hogwart's Legacy
10RETElden Ring

Previous months: Sep 2023 | Aug 2023 | Jul 2023 | Jun 2023 | May 2023 | Mar/Apr 2023 | Feb 2023 | Jan 2023
 
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Couple things:
  • fully ready to take my lumps about how bullish I've been about SMBW's chances of a #1 on this chart now.
  • the EA NHL games now show their true power up north, this being the first launch since the charts were published.
  • TotK finally vanishes from the Top 10, but I do not suspect it has fallen as far short of it as it has in the US, where it has fallen out of the Top 20.
  • Another L for Sonic Superstars to put in its cap and what seems to be a poor 2nd month for Starfield equal to the US showing.
 
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I suppose that I blame my SMBW bullishness on the strength of Nintendo’s post-launch tails in Canada, but it was not strong enough in the short term between launch and the end of October like I thought it might be.

While SMBW is starting to fall on Amazon.com’s YTD sales chart (down one spot to #11 after hovering at #10), SMBW has climbed one spot up the Amazon.ca YTD chart to #4 after perching at #5 for the past month since launch. Which is perhaps no surprise, as the game continues to hit the #1 spot in Amazon.ca’s Top 100 in Video Games, even right now. So again, strong tail.

Meanwhile, I’m hesitant to suggest this, but there’s a strong possibility that the absolute best SMRPG can hope to do on the next month chart is a low position like 8th. Sales for it look weaker than in the US, and when combined with the fact that November holiday sales usually see a surge for the most prominent games released through the entire year, I see it getting potentially roughed out of a higher position on the next ESAC chart release. Unless something changes, that’s where I’m at.
 
Hogwarts still in the top 10, with the Switch version coming in November (in the chart): I'd say this game is doing numbers
 
I'm ashamed of my fellow Canadians. I hate living here. Wonder should be way higher than this and everything else lower.

As a fellow Canadian, I have to honour our traditions and apologize 🙇‍♂️
I don't own a Switch, I'm part of the problem(I share a Switch with a family member and play when I can).

But, what wrong did Elden Ring commit that it's not worthy of a spot in the Top 10?
 
I'm ashamed of my fellow Canadians. I hate living here. Wonder should be way higher than this and everything else lower.
If you feel shame, there is still the likely opportunity of a redemption arc when it posts well in November… and maybe December. Nintendo games typically perform really well in the holiday period.

But regardless, I think we can all agree we should have nothing but shame in our hearts for the practically ephemeral value-add of a yearly NHL game posting so high. If any game would benefit from roster update DLC the most, it’d be the NHL games. I get that it’s THE hockey game and it will sell on that basis alone, but still… there’s a reason the MC/OC score from reviewers and users is so low; even if this seems to be the biggest change to the games in 3-4 years, enthusiasm is low. For some Canadian gamers, they buy a new EA NHL with the same excitement as buying a new toothbrush, it’s a purchase of routine.
And I wish I could say it makes the most of being a sports sim, but it kinda doesn’t.

This is all to say that I’d feel much better about 2K taking another crack at a console NHL game. Inertia in favour of EA’s offering may have pushed them out of making NHL games previously, but producing a better product now that would cause fans to abandon EA’s releases may not be that much of a challenge for them anymore.

EDIT: And yes, for the record, expect me to rag on EA NHL games for as long as I'm the OP for the Canadian chart threads, they're the most egregious example of milking an annual $70 for a roster update of any of EA's other sports titles, even FIFA/FC sees more changes to the overall package each year. The only plus side to that is this lack of re-investment in the games means the NHL equivalent to Ultimate Team is so utterly dogshit that I doubt it makes EA much money from recurrent spending. Small victories.
 
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Meanwhile, I’m hesitant to suggest this, but there’s a strong possibility that the absolute best SMRPG can hope to do on the next month chart is a low position like 8th. Sales for it look weaker than in the US, and when combined with the fact that November holiday sales usually see a surge for the most prominent games released through the entire year, I see it getting potentially roughed out of a higher position on the next ESAC chart release. Unless something changes, that’s where I’m at.
Tentatively rescinding my pessimism. SMRPG has gone from 3K+ as of 5 days ago on Amazon.ca to 5K+ right now and risen by about 15-20 positions on the YTD Bestseller chart to sit at #37. It gives me the impression sales in Canada (or maybe NA as a whole) have benefitted strongly from post-launch WoM happening during the holiday sales period.

EDIT: As of 11/26, it's now #36 on the YTD chart.

EDIT 2: As of 11/28, now #34.

EDIT 3: As of 12/01, now #28.
 
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So SMBW won't stop climbing, it's now the #3 item on the Amazon.ca YTD sales charts, nestled right next to TotK at #2. We should be expecting it to keep in the Top 5 at barest minimum, if not one of the Top 3, for November.

And as the updates to the post above show, I have fully rescinded my statement, SMRPG isn't likely to hit Top 3, but anything below Top 5 would be a surprise to me. (coincidentally, it's #24 on that YTD chart now EDIT: spoke too soon, a little over 2 hours later and it's #23 on the YTD chart now.)
 
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And now we know why it’s #3 on Amazon.ca’s YTD, SMBW just crossed the threshold of 20K+ sold in the past 30 days, after sitting at 10K+ sold steadily since shortly after launch, so it (perhaps unsurprisingly) is selling in greater numbers than it did at launch on Amazon.ca right now. SMRPG also hit 8K+ sold in the past 30 days.
Meanwhile, Spider-Man 2 stalled out at 5K+ and dropped a position on the LTD chart, but the PS5 bundle is up to #75 on the YTD and currently sits at 7K+ sold in the past 30 days.
November chart is shaping up to be quite interesting.
 
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