Box Office Charts - Official 2025 Thread

[Gartooth]

After this result for Captain America I really am starting to question whether Marvel will even deliver a hit this year. Like they absolutely need to deliver one because I can't imagine the stakes on Avengers Doomsday if it has to follow up a year of box office disappointments.

Thunderbolts though just isnt it. There seems to be no buzz for the movie that I just cant imagine it delivering a big box office performance unless it somehow is secretly one of the best Marvel movies in a long time and gets great word of mouth.

Fantastic Four has to be their big bet internally due to being an iconic Marvel IP that fans have wanted to see done right for a long time. However to the general public they probably remember F4 for the terrible movies it's had so it may be an uphill battle. Not to mention for whatever reason Marvel is putting it out right in the wake of Superman which seems like a bad call when that movie had a way bigger public response to its first trailer than F4.

 

[Evilnemesis8]

Been a while since I did a Nezha 2 post.
In China the movie grossed $7.72M~ this Friday for a total of $1992.10M.
This means that it will officially become the first to gross 2B+ in a single market tomorrow.
The movie also has already crossed the 300M admission mark, a feat very few modern movies have hit.

Weekend projections:

Weekend projections further upgraded to $35-37M. Beating the 6th weekend of Avatar($34.9M) now a very real possibility.

Total WW gross and breakdown:

China: $1992.10M - Updated through Friday

US/Canada: $18.55M - Updated through Wednesday
Australia/New Zealand: $5.08M - Updated through Wednesday
Honk Kong/Macau: $4.70M - Updated through Thursday
Singapore: $0.20M - Updated through Thursday
Philippines/Malaysia: $0.02M - early screenings ahead of releases on the 12th/13th respectively.

Total gross: $2020.65M

 

[Lelouch0612]

After this result for Captain America I really am starting to question whether Marvel will even deliver a hit this year. Like they absolutely need to deliver one because I can't imagine the stakes on Avengers Doomsday if it has to follow up a year of box office disappointments.

Thunderbolts though just isnt it. There seems to be no buzz for the movie that I just cant imagine it delivering a big box office performance unless it somehow is secretly one of the best Marvel movies in a long time and gets great word of mouth.

Fantastic Four has to be their big bet internally due to being an iconic Marvel IP that fans have wanted to see done right for a long time. However to the general public they probably remember F4 for the terrible movies it's had so it may be an uphill battle. Not to mention for whatever reason Marvel is putting it out right in the wake of Superman which seems like a bad call when that movie had a way bigger public response to its first trailer than F4.

The only superhero movie I have confidence in this year is Superman. The rest looks uninteresting tbh.

 

[Mekanos]

If F4 fails it won’t be because it releases after Superman, I think. Wouldn’t be the first time July had two successful superhero movies in it - 2012 has TASM and TDKR.

Thunderbolts though is definitely DOA barring an act of god. They should have canned it after The Marvels bombed.

 

[Lelouch0612]

Anyone had the opportunity to watch Mickey 17?

I saw that it got a middling B Cinemascore but wanted to know what people here thought of the movie.

 

[Gartooth]

Here's a spicy topic: will there be a US blockbuster that does over $500 million at the global box office before memorial day weekend in late May where we get both Lilo & Stitch and Mission Impossible?

The more I think about it, I keep leaning towards "no". I can't see Snow White, Minecraft, or Thunderbolts doing it, and I can't think of any other blockbusters on the schedule besides those three. Minecraft I think has the most potential of them but I just don't see it happening. Current pre-sales seem to point towards a Detective Pikachu level performance being its best case scenario.

 

[Mekanos]

Here's a spicy topic: will there be a US blockbuster that does over $500 million at the global box office before memorial day weekend in late May where we get both Lilo & Stitch and Mission Impossible?

The more I think about it, I keep leaning towards "no". I can't see Snow White, Minecraft, or Thunderbolts doing it, and I can't think of any other blockbusters on the schedule besides those three. Minecraft I think has the most potential of them but I just don't see it happening. Current pre-sales seem to point towards a Detective Pikachu level performance being its best case scenario.

Wait, Mission Impossible and Lilo And Stitch are launching the same weekend???

I don't understand why these studios insist on not budging on their release dates.

To answer the question, I don't think any of those will hit 500 million, except maybe Minecraft.

 

[Lelouch0612]

Wait, Mission Impossible and Lilo And Stitch are launching the same weekend???

I don't understand why these studios insist on not budging on their release dates.

To be fair, those are not the same audiences. Plus we have examples of dual releases doing very well together (prime example being Barbenheimer).

 

[Mekanos]

To be fair, those are not the same audiences. Plus we have examples of dual releases doing very well together (prime example being Barbenheimer).

They can, but it's generally a risk you'd want to avoid, especially with MI where the last film underperformed.

 

[Jatinder5ingh]

Anyone had the opportunity to watch Mickey 17?

I saw that it got a middling B Cinemascore but wanted to know what people here thought of the movie.

Just got home from seeing it and I had a good time. If you've seen any of his other films you'll know what you're getting. Funny, dark and social commentary with the subtly of a sledge hammer.

 

[Lite_Agent]

The Super Mario Bros. Movie - Home Release (Japan): Week 79 (Mar. 03 - Mar. 09)

- Stand-alone DVD ranked #25 in DVD ranking with 302 units sold
- Stand-alone DVD ranked #9 in Anime DVD ranking
- Stand-alone BR is still MIA

• DVD: 31,298 units sold (as of March 9th 2025)
• Blu-Ray: 3,172 units sold (as of January 12th 2025)
• Blu-Ray + DVD combo: 76,210 units sold (as of June 9th 2024)
• SteelBook Blu-Ray + DVD combo: 4,757 units sold (as of September 2023)
• 4k Ultra HD + Blu-Ray combo: 2,784 units sold (as of September 2023)
• SteelBook 4k Ultra HD + Blu-Ray combo (Limited Edition): 1,039 units sold (as of September 2023)
• SteelBook 4k Ultra HD + Blu-Ray combo: 790 units sold (as of September 2023)
• Total: 122,750 units sold (as of March 9th 2025, but missing some data)

Source: Oricon
Thanks @Rouk' for the early data!

 

[Rouk']

France Ranking: Mar 5 - Mar 11, 2025
RANK./PREVIOUS RANK. MOVIE - WEEKLY ADMISSIONS / LIFE-TO-DATE ADMISSIONS (WEEKLY GROWTH) [WEEKS SINCE RELEASE]

01./00. Mickey 17 - 413,052 / NEW [1]
02./00. Le Secret de Khéops - 184,052 / NEW [1]
03./01. God Save the Tuche - 142,315 / 2,787,858 (-50.2%) [5]
04./04. The Ties That Bind Us - 128,314 / 556,456 (-21.8%) [3]
05./03. Captain America: Brave New World - 118,687 / 1,421,181 (-51%) [4]
06./05. A bicyclette ! - 108,029 / 271,321 (-33.8%) [2]
07./02. Paddington in Peru - 105,175 / 1,684,503 (-58.7%) [5]
08./06. Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy - 78,565 / 842,213 (-47.6%) [4]
09./10. The Brutalist - 69,600 / 409,970 (-14.9%) [4]
10./07. Out of Control - 62,556 / 380,867 (-41.2%) [3]
11./00. Black Dog - 62,059 / NEW [1]
12./11. A Real Pain - 45,879 / 126,623 (-43.2%) [2]
13./12. Mufasa: The Lion King - 38,617 / 5,185,320 (-50.2%) [12]
14./13. The Monkey - 34,105 / 257,118 (-54.8%) [3]
15./00. In The Lost Lands - 32,288 / NEW [1]
16./09. A Complete Unknown - 29,304 / 987,904 (-64.7%) [6]
17./17. Anora - 25,540 / 615,646 [19]
18./00. The Victoria System - 24,011 / NEW [1]
19./15. The Future Awaits - 23,467 / 83,666 (-61%) [2]
20./14. Mercato - 21,477 / 227,331 (-66%) [3]

Source

Feb 26 - Mar 4, 2025

 

[Evilnemesis8]

Another Nezha 2 update as it crosses some neat new milestone:

Ne Zha 2 is not done yet. A fantastic Saturday up over +200% versus yesterday pushes the movie to another $10M+ day as it grossed $10.09M on Saturday pushing the movie to $2043.23M in China. Worldwide the movie hits $2079M+ and has now become the 5th highest grossing movie of all time.

Nezha 2 has now beaten Star Wars: The Force Awakens and Avengers: Infinity War to become the 5th highest grossing movie of all time. Possibility of the final domestic gross beating both is in the cards.

Weekend projections raised considerably after such a day up to $19-21M.

Early weekend projections were more in the $15-18M range, so beating expectations once again.


-----


But what about the US/CAN BO?
Well... Deadline has this to say:

Thank, God, for Snow White next weekend, right? Who knew with that movie’s controversy we’d be saying that!? However, the industry should be thankful. If Snow White pulls off a $50M+ opening, that’s a respectable bump for what is a barren desert of a business right now. Current estimates show that this weekend is in fact the lowest YTD with around $52M for all films; that’s lower than Super Bowl Weekend. How is that possible during a spring break with kids off?

Depression all around, we keep getting new lowest grossing weekends this winter/spring. Summer is once again going to have to do the heavy lifting because things are not looking good...

Good critical score doesn't mean much for the likes of Mickey 17/Novocaine/Black Bag.
Granted the last two really didn't seem to get much effective marketing, tons of people had no idea these movies were coming out, even within the greater movie going community.

The current movie audience keeps reinforcing the fact that they want big tentpole movies and pretty much nothing else, it's a bit grim. For other kind of movies, probably going to need to reduce the budget a decent amount if they want to have a chance to make a profit.

 

[Lelouch0612]

Another Nezha 2 update as it crosses some neat new milestone:



Nezha 2 has now beaten Star Wars: The Force Awakens and Avengers: Infinity War to become the 5th highest grossing movie of all time. Possibility of the final domestic gross beating both is in the cards.



Early weekend projections were more in the $15-18M range, so beating expectations once again.


-----


But what about the US/CAN BO?
Well... Deadline has this to say:



Depression all around, we keep getting new lowest grossing weekends this winter/spring. Summer is once again going to have to do the heavy lifting because things are not looking good...

Good critical score doesn't mean much for the likes of Mickey 17/Novocaine/Black Bag.
Granted the last two really didn't seem to get much effective marketing, tons of people had no idea these movies were coming out, even within the greater movie going community.

The current movie audience keeps reinforcing the fact that they want big tentpole movies and pretty much nothing else, it's a bit grim. For other kind of movies, probably going to need to reduce the budget a decent amount if they want to have a chance to make a profit.

Just like gaming, subscription services are definitely pushing that kind of behavior.

If the theater significantly enhances the movie's experience, people will show up. If not, and if you don't have any FOMO, then why not wait to see it with the family home a few weeks later?

 

[Evilnemesis8]

Nezha 2 Sunday Domestic gross:

After a strong $7M+ Sunday Ne Zha 2 finishes its 7th weekend with $20.48 pushing the movie to $2050.32M in China. Worldwide the movie hits $2089M+. It will cross $2.1B next weekend.

Ne Zha 2 has now crossed $150M in IMAX gross in China.

-----

Just like gaming, subscription services are definitely pushing that kind of behavior.

If the theater significantly enhances the movie's experience, people will show up. If not, and if you don't have any FOMO, then why not wait to see it with the family home a few weeks later?

Yeah, seems to be a similar effect for sure.
If somebody wanted to be super reductive they could say that Marvel both saved and killed theatres!

There's also a couple genres that are more affected than others.
For example, I think Spy/Action Thrillers are released so often by Netflix/Amazon(and others) as streaming movies that a lot of the audience that wanted those are not really lining up to see something like Novocaine and/or Black Bag in theatres.

Like, I'm fairly sure there's a new movie of that genre dropping every couple of weeks on the streaming services.
At least it feels that way...