2025 Full Year UK Hardware Predictions [CLOSED]

[Astral_lion02]

This thread is for predictions of UK Hardware sales as reported by GFK for the entire 2025 year (the 52 weeks starting from December 29, 2024 and ending on December 28, 2025).

What is GFK?: GFK is one of the main retail tracking firms in the Europe, GFK track sales of physical video games products (retail software, hardware and accesories) across the region.

Prediction entries must be in and finalized before end of march. (April 1 - 22H59 CEST) Format use is required.

Format to use for predictions

[NSW]
[PS5]
[XBS]
[NS2]

Good
1. [NS2] 1500K
2. [PS5] 1500000
3. [XBS] 1,500,000

Bad
[XBS] 1.500.000
[XBS] 1.5 million
[XBS] 1.5m
[XBS] - 1.5 m
XBS - 1 million


2024 Results:

[PS5] 960k
[NSW] 520k
[XBS] 460k
[PS4] 10k

[ALL] 1950k

2023 Results:

[PS5] 1210k
[NSW] 720k
[XBS] 650k
[PS4] 25k

[ALL] 2605k

2022 Results:

[NSW] 860k
[PS5] 780k
[XBS] 760k
[PS4] 5k

[ALL] 2405k

2021 Results:

[NSW] 1220k
[PS5] 1150k
[XBS] 850k
[PS4] 130k

[ALL] 3350k

2020 Results:

[NSW] 1470k
[PS5] 450k
[PS4] 420k
[XBS] 310k
[XB1] 310k
[3DS] 10k

[ALL] 2970k

Spoiler: Historical Hardware data (2012-2019) in K units

UK​	2012​	2013​	2014​	2015​	2016​	2017​	2018​	2019​
NSW​	​	​	​	​	​	700​	840​	950​
WIU​	90​	130​	160​	150​	50​	10​	​	​
WII​	200​	60​	20​	10​	​	​	​	​
PS4​	​	580​	1,260​	1,210​	1,120​	1,150​	1,160​	650​
PS3​	700​	480​	150​	30​	10​	​	​	​
XB1​	​	400​	1,070​	1,020​	870​	790​	730​	520​
360​	890​	620​	250​	80​	20​	​	​	​
PSV​	310​	180​	170​	60​	20​	​	​	​
PSP​	80​	30​	10​	​	​	​	​	​
3DS​	680​	710​	400​	360​	360​	330​	150​	80​
NDS​	100​	10​	10​	​	​	​	​	​
Total​	3,050​	3,200​	3,500​	2,920​	2,450​	2,980​	2,880​	2,200​

Potentially significant sales-related events for 2025
(No guarantee these'll all happen. Also, this list is not meant to be comprehensive.)

[NS2] release window, pricing, 3D Mario, cross gen releases, 3rd party suport
[NSW] Price drops, Pokemon Z-A, Metroid Prime 4
[PS5] Price drops, GTA VI
[XSX] Price drops, GTA VI

 

[Lelouch0612]

Do you have the 2017 results? I am curious about how much Switch sold in its launch year.

 

[Welfare]

[PS5] 900K
[NS2] 750K
[XBS] 350K
[NSW] 250K

Do you have the 2017 results? I am curious about how much Switch sold in its launch year.

PS4: 1150K
XB1: 790K
NSW: 700K

 

[derby_440]

[PS5] 940K
[NS2] 700K
[XBS] 330K
[NSW] 230K

 

[Astral_lion02]

First callendar year sales of severall Nintendo consoles in the UK:

Game Boy Advance (June 2001): 800k
Nintendo DS (March 2005): 950k
Nintendo 3DS (March 2011): 770k
Nintendo Switch (March 2017): 700k

___

I have updated OP to add 2012-19 historical data and changed the closing date from April 30 to March 31 because 2 months for the prediction was a bit too long.

 

[Astral_lion02]

[PS5] 880K
[NS2] 670K
[XBS] 300K
[NSW] 190K

 

[awng782]

[PS5] 864K
[NS2] 765K
[XBS] 420K
[NSW] 234K

As a note, we know for sure Pokemon Gen 10 isn't happening this year since Legends Z-A is set to release late this year.

 

[Malden]

[PS5] 800K
[NS2] 700K
[XBS] 250K
[NSW] 200K

 

[Kmds]

[PS5] 950k
[NS2] 900k
[XBS] 375k
[NSW] 200k

 

[Isa Candygard]

[PS5] 870K
[NS2] 820K
[XBS] 320K
[NSW] 220K

 

[Astral_lion02]

I will close this thread in less than 24H from now in case some peoples forgot to predict or anything you can do it now.

After that, the Nintendo Switch 2 Direct will aired with possibly some major anoncements impacting UK market so I will consider it's too late.

 

[Kenka]

[PS5] 770K
[NS2] 670K
[XBS] 260K
[NSW] 250K

 

[Astrogamer]

[PS5] 810K
[NS2] 675K
[XBS] 265K
[NSW] 210K

 

[Lelouch0612]

[PS5] 850K
[XB1] 350K
[NSW2] 800K
[NSW] 260K

 

[Xevross]

[PS5] 980K
[NS2] 880K
[XBS] 440K
[NSW] 240K

 

[BTB123]

[PS5] 900K
[NS2] 800K
[XBS] 310K
[NSW] 200K

 

[Astral_lion02]

Only 10H left

 

[Bruno MB]

[NSW] 250k
[PS5] 890k
[XBS] 300k
[NS2] 850k

 

[Astral_lion02]

Only 2H left.

 

[Danny]

[PS5] 850K
[NS2] 800K
[XBS] 300K
[NSW] 250K