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2024 STEAM Concurrent Players(CCU) Official Watch Thread

There’s also a lot of leaks out right now of vehicles and mechs. I think there will be a steady drip feed of content to keep people interested

No Rest For The Wicked just announced its EA for April 18th. I think it will be a hit as a Diablo-Dark Souls like game by a renown studio. Watch out for it

Yeah, I feel like the first update 2 weeks from now will be fairly bigger than I thought it would be.
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There’s also a lot of leaks out right now of vehicles and mechs. I think there will be a steady drip feed of content to keep people interested

No Rest For The Wicked just announced its EA for April 18th. I think it will be a hit as a Diablo-Dark Souls like game by a renown studio. Watch out for it

Yeah, I feel like the first update 2 weeks from now will be fairly bigger than I thought it would be.
 
Maybe Hades II ?

Probably one of the titles the least likely to do so.

Hades 2 is the most wishlisted game on Steam at this current moment, meaning a high likelyhood of an extremely high CCU during the EA launch.
And their plans, as outlined in their latest update on Steam is to release the game in Q2 2024 and have a shorter EA period than the first game.

The high likelihood of a very large initial CCU peak (wishlists)combined with a relatively(TBD) "short" EA period works against the possibility of a 2nd peak.

Of course that doesn't mean Hades 2 won't just be a straight banger that sells insanely over its EA period and crushes the record with its 1.0 release, but it's going to be a tougher fight than usual.

I thought it was uncommon because I looked at the biggest games in Early Access. I didn't pay much attention.

Yes, generally the more into the zeigeist you get, let say Palworld and Valheim, the harder it is to beat that high for obvious reasons. Things can still happen of course, but its a much harder climb, both literally and figuratively.


------

Added No Rest For the Wicked to the OP.
The latest game from Moon Studios(Ori) is coming out in Early Access on April 18th.
Today previews from various outlets dropped and they even sponsored various streamers on Twitch to play the game in some capacity.
Follower count on SteamDB for today is 21k, will be interesting how much it increase when it updates the numbers tomorrow and on subsequent days.
 
I thought it was uncommon because I looked at the biggest games in Early Access. I didn't pay much attention.
Just to provide another datapoint, BG3 also beat its EA CCU by a huge margin. I guess for most games it’s normal to do so but survival titles can have a harder time to replicate that first wave of hype.
 
Today Helldivers 2 was just 18k away from reaching its previous peak. Curious to see if it'll pass it during the weekend and if it does by how much.
 
Today Helldivers 2 was just 18k away from reaching its previous peak. Curious to see if it'll pass it during the weekend and if it does by how much.

*Casually removes the "Launch Time Over" from Helldivers 2 in the OP, I'm sure nobody noticed*

Yeah, looks like the bump on Thursday was a sign to come.
Could very well easily break CCU record today or tomorrow if servers hold, the CEO has not announced any increase in CCU server cap, so that could become an issue if this level of CCU remains as high on PS5 too.
Maybe Rebirth folks will keep the PS5 CCUs lower? #4 best selling in the US and #1 in Canada.

We'll just have to wait and see.
 
Yeah No Rest for the Wicked is primed to be an apetizer for Elden Ring fans waiting for Shadow of the Erdtree, same as Dragon's Dogma 2, very good timing for both games.
 
February Hardware Survey is up. usual caveats, yada yada yada

most interesting point, because it affects everything else, is the language
  • Simplified Chinese jumps 7.62 percentage points to 32.84%
  • English jumps -4.05 percentage points to 32.12%
  • this tells me that there might be an over-representation of chinese systems again. we'll see if this is changed for next month (or even in the next couple days)
OSs
  • windows 10 moved 2.76 PP to 54.19%. again, sign of chinese surge
  • steam OS moved 1.43 PP to 43.55% of linux charts
GPUs
  • #1 gpu can't stop #1-ing, the 3060 moves 1.19 PP to 6.17%
  • this causes the previous #1 to be the biggest loser, 1650 moves -0.44 PP to 4.23%
  • Nvidia moves 2.6 PP to 76.92%
  • AMD moves -1.4 PP to 15.09%
  • Intel moves -0.81 PP to 7.59%
  • in the linux charts, "AMD Radeon Graphics (RADV VANGOGH)" makes its first appearance with 8.54% of gpus
    • AMD Custom GPU 0405 moves -7.12 PP to 35.06%
    • both of these are the same thing, the Steam Deck. I'm guessing Valve started separating their own RadV vulkan implementation from stock AMD's?
CPUs
  • Intel moves 2.38 PP to 67.08%
  • AMD moves -2.38 PP to 32.92%
 
Yeah No Rest for the Wicked is primed to be an apetizer for Elden Ring fans waiting for Shadow of the Erdtree, same as Dragon's Dogma 2, very good timing for both games.

Yeah these two are going to be the two action RPG people are going to play until ER DLC comes out.

But there's already an appetizer being played right now...
It's called Elden Ring, and I'm only half kidding lmao.

Last Saturday Elden Ring CCU Peak: 100,936
Last Sunday Elden Ring CCU Peak: 108,636

This Saturday's Elden Ring CCU Peak: 112,016

The game has remained #6-7-8 on the global list even after the initial hype of the trailer, so much so that it even beat the CCU peak of the last weekend. Game is legit being played twice as much as before the trailer dropped.
 
Do we think DD2 will overtake MHW for top Capcom game CCU? Outside of an awful port I think it's pretty likely.
I think it will.

This is unexpected for me because if you see the numbers for both DD vanilla and Arisen on Steam, they are not that big.

But now we may be seeing DD2 selling millions on Steam day 1.

Crazy
 
I think it will.

This is unexpected for me because if you see the numbers for both DD vanilla and Arisen on Steam, they are not that big.

But now we may be seeing DD2 selling millions on Steam day 1.

Crazy
At launch DD: DA was Capcom's fastest ever seller on Steam despite being a late port at a time when they were bringing titles day 1.
 
I think being a single-player game will hurt it. it does have having a pc version day 1 going for it, so it could be close

Not having multiplayer for DD2 was such a missed opportunity.
I know the whole Pawn thing is integral to their vision for the game(s) but man...
The makers of Monster Hunter surely must know how people love to fight big monsters together, those sales don't lie.
 
I am also in the camp that DD being single player will prevent it from hitting the highs it could have, and why MHW will remain the top for Capcom.
 
Interesting. Just looking at the sales numbers three weeks out and the feedback of those into followers I think it's going to be huge. Maybe MP would give it a higher ceiling but probably also makes it harder to make into a good game on top of that, or at least just longer. My guess is it's going to do excellent numbers MP or no.
 
Interesting. Just looking at the sales numbers three weeks out and the feedback of those into followers I think it's going to be huge. Maybe MP would give it a higher ceiling but probably also makes it harder to make into a good game on top of that, or at least just longer. My guess is it's going to do excellent numbers MP or no.

Everyone does think it'll do great numbers, the fact people are debating if it can beat MHW's record of not is proof of that.

We're only discussing the possible launch ceiling of the game.

Early pre-orders, follower count and wishlist placement are very encouraging, but we still have to wait for the reviews and what kind of performance this RE Engine open world is going to look like. These two things could alter the launch numbers by in either a positive or negative way depending on how things shake out.
Initial performance reception by players is going to be especially important considering the game is coming out on a Friday.

Capcom's biggest CCUs(Top 3)

Monster Hunter World - 334,684
Monster Hunter Rise - 231,360(Sunbreak Expansion Release)
Resident Evil 4 Remake - 168,191

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Supermarket Simulator keeps climbing, today it reached a new CCU record of 35,949.
For the last few days the game has been hanging around the #11-13~ on the global list but this morning it skyrocketed to #6 and has been there the whole day.


Last Friday on March 1st, those were the stats I witnessed as far as review breakdowns by language:

1. English 32.12%
2. German 13.06% (This should be no surprise)
3. French 11.79% Did any big streamers from France play the game or something?
4. Simple Chinese 11.25%
5. Spanish - Spain 7.38% Same question here as the French one, this is very high for a Simulator game.
6. Russian 5.57%
7. Portuguese Brazil 5.13%

I asked if it became a meme game in France due to the abnormally large presence of French reviews.

Well here we're 2 days later and this is how it's going now:

1. English 29.75%
2. France 14.76%
3. German 11.78%
4. Simple Chinese 10.70%
5. Spanish - Spain 8.71%
6. Russian 6.15%
7. Portuguese - Brazil 4.07%

France overtaking Germany in a simulator game...

This increase is also backed by the fact that Supermarket Simulator #1 in one particular market: France
The only country where this is the case. I did check on twitch earlier today and many streamers playing the game were French based on their titles.

Meme game confirmed.
 
Yeah, the hype around the game is huge, if there are not big technical problems I think it will destroy RE and beat MHW.

There is a reasonably high amount of hype between enthusiast circles, but I wonder if there's much beyond that... As in actual mass market awareness. It's still hard to say at this point.
 
I can't say I see some grand amount of hype for this game, tbh?

I feel like I see a lot of interest in very gamer-oriented circles but beyond that, the game's just sort of there on the horizon but there's nothing I'd call notable in its approach/expectation.
 
We also can't forget it's Capcom's first $70 game, from a franchise that's far from a household name. We'll see how it goes, but I feel like some are overestimating its potential and setting themselves up for disappointment.
 
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We also can't forget it's Capcom's first $70 game

Yeah, this is def going to have an effect.
Lots of discussions, but a lack of numbers right now, so here goes:


Let's compare RE4R to DD2, as they are both SP games from Capcom and just one year apart.

Resident Evil 4 Remake launch CCU record - 168,191

RE4R
release date: March 24 2023(Friday)
DD2 release date: March 22 2024(Friday)

RE4R follower count 1 day before release: 91k
Steam Page up from October 2022 ---> March 2023 (5 months)

DD2 follower count as of March 4th: 113k
Steam Page up from Jun 2023 ----> March 2024 (9 months)

RE4R Pre-Order placement 4 weeks before launch
Week of Feb 21 to Feb 28: #46
Week of Feb 28 to March 7: #26
Week of March 7 to March 14: #9
Week of March 14 to March 21: #6

Launch week of March 21 to March 28(March 24th release): #2

--------

DD2 Pre-Order placement 4 weeks before launch

Week of Feb 20 to Feb 27: #53
Week of Feb 27 to March 5 - TBD(Tuesday is tomorrow, will make another post once that updates)
Week of March 5 to March 12 - TBD
Week of March 12 to March 19 - TBD

Launch Week of March 19 to March 26(March 22nd release) - TBD


Steam Spring sales 2023: March 16 to 23
Steam Spring sales 2024: March 14 to 21
 
i know they’re different platforms and not on pc but i do feel like Rise of The Ronin (if good) and Princess Peach Showtime are going to eat into mindshare of DD2, along with the horizon pc launch.

People only have so much money and this past month already had a lot of releases.
 
i know they’re different platforms and not on pc but i do feel like Rise of The Ronin (if good) and Princess Peach Showtime are going to eat into mindshare of DD2, along with the horizon pc launch.

People only have so much money and this past month already had a lot of releases.
The same could be said the other way around, I think it boils down to which game gets the best critic/fans response, I think Peach is getting an 82/84, Rise of the Ronin a 78/82, while I expect an 87+ for DD2. In terms of coverage I doubt Peach will overshadow the other two no matter what, Nintendo games aren't streamed on Twitch so there's no overlap there and there won't be a huge necessity for guides/articles either. Ronin and DD2 are definitely gonna harm eachother more in that regard. Personally I expect pretty good things from Ronin but the most recent trailers were met with somewhat mild reactions due to the visuals, it does come across as a slightly older game compared to the massive boss fights and environment destruction on display in DD2.
 
The same could be said the other way around, I think it boils down to which game gets the best critic/fans response, I think Peach is getting an 82/84, Rise of the Ronin a 78/82, while I expect an 87+ for DD2. In terms of coverage I doubt Peach will overshadow the other two no matter what, Nintendo games aren't streamed on Twitch so there's no overlap there and there won't be a huge necessity for guides/articles either. Ronin and DD2 are definitely gonna harm eachother more in that regard. Personally I expect pretty good things from Ronin but the most recent trailers were met with somewhat mild reactions due to the visuals, it does come across as a slightly older game compared to the massive boss fights and environment destruction on display in DD2.
The should have changed the date of Ronin, it will be overshadowed by DD2. Nobody will stream a team Ninja game available only on Playstation when there is DD2 on PC.
 
The should have changed the date of Ronin, it will be overshadowed by DD2. Nobody will stream a team Ninja game available only on Playstation when there is DD2 on PC.
I think there is a chance Ronin finds its audience in the GoT fans who were waiting on the next entry, but that depends a lot on the game which seems quite a bit different with the guns and other weapons on top of the story being by Koei which...isn't exactly know for great stories. But if I were to bet I'd definitely bet on the sequel to the game that sold 7.1M units coming from one of the most critically acclaimed companies of the industry and with a much more appealing Fantasy world, which is also multiplatform.
 
I think you may be underestimating what a popular open world samurai game could do this month with the popularity of Shogun.

The main thing Ronin has against it are the outdated graphics but idk if DD2 is much of a showpiece either even though it fairs better than the former.

Also, both Nioh games scored mid to high 80’s so I don’t see this doing much worse
 
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Rise of the Ronin a 78/82,
Nioh 1 and 2 scored in the mid to high 80s, how are we getting such a low prediction for RotR? Both Nioh 1 and 2 didn't look great graphically or technically in the lead up to release as well.
 
Nioh 1 and 2 scored in the mid to high 80s, how are we getting such a low prediction for RotR? Both Nioh 1 and 2 didn't look great graphically or technically in the lead up to release as well.
Wo Long scored an 81, Stranger of Paradise scored a 72. I think it will have the characteristic good combat of Team Ninja, but paired with an outdated Open World (especially if GoT is their inspiration) and a mediocre story/side quests that will drag it down.
 
Wo Long scored an 81, Stranger of Paradise scored a 72. I think it will have the characteristic good combat of Team Ninja, but paired with an outdated Open World (especially if GoT is their inspiration) and a mediocre story/side quests that will drag it down.

Different creative directors, Fumihiko Yasuda was lead on the Nioh games and is lead on Ronin
 
Single player only games can get insanely high CCUs as we've seen with Hogwarts Legacy but saying that DD2 might not be in the same category regarding hype and anticipation.
 
SteamDB Top Sellers for the week of Feb 27th to March 5th
1. Helldivers 2
2. Counter-Strike 2
3. Steam Deck (+3)
4. PUBG(+1)
5. Last Epoch(-2)
6. Helldivers 2 Upgrade to Super Citizen Edition(+4)
7. Elden Ring(-3)
8. Palworld(+3)
9. Baldur's Gate 3(+5)
10. Call of Duty(+6)

Supermarket Simulator at #12, Balatro at #14, Monster Hunter world at #20.

Dragon's Dogma 2 at #21, which leads me to...

------

RE4R Pre-Order placement 4 weeks before launch
Week of Feb 21 to Feb 28: #46
Week of Feb 28 to March 7: #26
Week of March 7 to March 14: #9
Week of March 14 to March 21: #6

Launch week of March 21 to March 28(March 24th release): #2

DD2
Pre-Order placement 4 weeks before launch
Week of Feb 20 to Feb 27: #53
Week of Feb 27 to March 5 - #21
Week of March 5 to March 12 - TBD
Week of March 12 to March 19 - TBD

Launch Week of March 19 to March 26(March 22nd release) - TBD

-----

Lastly, Naraka Bladepoint new all-time CCU peak - 299,597
Previous CCU record was 295,419 back in October 2023.
 
Helldivers 2 super citizen higher rank then previous week likely mean overall sales of HD2 again increased in 4th week. For comparision BG3 was top selling games in revenue chart for 3 weeks in a row.

Good chance HD2 have sold 6m on Steam in 4 weeks.
 
SteamDB Top Sellers for the week of Feb 27th to March 5th
1. Helldivers 2
2. Counter-Strike 2
3. Steam Deck (+3)
4. PUBG(+1)
5. Last Epoch(-2)
6. Helldivers 2 Upgrade to Super Citizen Edition(+4)
7. Elden Ring(-3)
8. Palworld(+3)
9. Baldur's Gate 3(+5)
10. Call of Duty(+6)

Supermarket Simulator at #12, Balatro at #14, Monster Hunter world at #20.

Dragon's Dogma 2 at #21, which leads me to...

------

RE4R Pre-Order placement 4 weeks before launch
Week of Feb 21 to Feb 28: #46
Week of Feb 28 to March 7: #26
Week of March 7 to March 14: #9
Week of March 14 to March 21: #6

Launch week of March 21 to March 28(March 24th release): #2

DD2
Pre-Order placement 4 weeks before launch
Week of Feb 20 to Feb 27: #53
Week of Feb 27 to March 5 - #21
Week of March 5 to March 12 - TBD
Week of March 12 to March 19 - TBD

Launch Week of March 19 to March 26(March 22nd release) - TBD

-----

Lastly, Naraka Bladepoint new all-time CCU peak - 299,597
Previous CCU record was 295,419 back in October 2023.
Since I've been singing the praise of DD2 up until now, I will say that I think it's hard to think it will do better than RE4 in the second to last week, it's currently ranked 12th and the number of hot releaseses makes me think it'll hover in the 12th to 10th position for now. Granted, if Capcom finally releases a demo alongside their showcase later this week we might see an upsurge in preorders in the weekend.
 
Horizon Forbidden West system specs. Steam Deck might have to play at 360p or something

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Since I've been singing the praise of DD2 up until now, I will say that I think it's hard to think it will do better than RE4 in the second to last week, it's currently ranked 12th and the number of hot releaseses makes me think it'll hover in the 12th to 10th position for now. Granted, if Capcom finally releases a demo alongside their showcase later this week we might see an upsurge in preorders in the weekend.

Too early to say, this is Day 1 of an entire week.
First we don't know if the demo is a thing, and there's also the possibility of new trailers and/or ads that would also led to an increase(obviously less so, but still an increase) in pre-orders.

Plus I would caution against saying #10-#12 can't punch higher than its weight so to speak.
I've seen a couple times where Baldur's Gate 3 was doing similar or worse during the duration of a week and managed to get within the Top 10.

Lots of games only stay within the Top 10 for 1-3 days and then rapidly drop off(most SP games).

This week The Thaumaturge is very likely to be such a release, it's a niche Eurojank Polish RPG with its audience and that'll be it.
Supermarket Simulator(at #7 currently) revenue might take a dive after today, its 20% launch discount is ending in 4 hours. Although you seemingly can't count this game out, keeps breaking CCU records daily(it's on pace to do so again today).

Also I'm pretty sure the Crusader Kings III: Chapter 3 is going to be folded into the main game's revenue(it's a pack of DLC/Bundle) at the end of the week. SteamDB doesn't lists it on its global list even if Steam does.
I suspect it's because Steam doesn't count it as seperate when it publishes its weekly lists?
We'll know at the end of this week, should probably make a note of it somewhere, that's something useful to know.

Horizon Forbidden West system specs. Steam Deck might have to play at 360p or something

Good thing Nixxes added DLSS to HZD and Forbidden West is also going to have it as a feature because sheesh...
 
Nvidia has stopped shipping 16 series cards. as of this, the GTX line of gpus is dead, a nameplate that started in 2008 with the 9800 GTX. this will definitely affect the Steam Hardware Survey as the 16 series was still in low end gaming pcs. now they'll be replaced by 2060s or 3050s and 3060s

 
Helldivers 2 has been #2 below CS2 for the last couple of hours. The King is dead, long live the King.

Also, the game has fallen a percent today due to the influx of negative reviews left by angry users as Arrowhead has nerfed several overpowered guns. Generally people don't like when you nerf their toys. I would expect this sentiment to be more likely to happen due to the all hell breaks loose co-op gameplay like Helldivers 2.

Devs really have to stop using the nerf bat like this, especially in new game like this which is trying to build up its long term community.

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Now that Supermarket Simulator's initial 20% discount launch is over and the game has failed to beat its CCU record, time for another review language breakdown update.

This is what I observed last Sunday

Well here we're 2 days later and this is how it's going now:

1. English 29.75%
2. France 14.76%
3. German 11.78%
4. Simple Chinese 10.70%
5. Spanish - Spain 8.71%
6. Russian 6.15%
7. Portuguese - Brazil 4.07%

And this is how things stand as of right now:

1. English - 29.67%
2. French - 17.25%
3. German - 10.95%
4. Spanish - Spain - 10.55%
5. Simple Chinese - 9.53%
6. Russian - 5.55%
7. Turkish - 3.51%

Both French and Spanish have increased significantly, we're seeing the power of French and Spanish streamers and their audiences. The game is still #1 on the local France best sellers list.

Turkey makes an appearance, knocking down Brazil.

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Naraka: Bladepoint new CCU record, crossing the 300k CCU barrier - 301,156
The Thaumaturge new CCU record(and very likely final CCU) - 2,913

Expeditions: A MudRunner Game CCU record - 4,915
58% Steam Rating, looks like people are not the most happy with the game.
 
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