• A small post regarding transcribing source, especially twitter. Please make sure to read the thread here.

  • 🥳🎂 Install Base celebrates its 2nd anniversary ! 🎂🥳

    Thanks everyone, and the best is yet to come ! Check out the details here!

  • 📰A Sales Story | E12 | Cities: Skylines📰

    Check out the 12th edition of A Sales Story | E12 | Cities: Skylines at the page here!

(2023 Edition) The Nintendo Switch 2 will launch in ...

The Nintendo Switch 2 (tentative name) will launch in ...

  • 2023, first half (if you believe Nintendo pulls an Apple)

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • 2023, latter half

    Votes: 8 14.8%

  • 2024, first half

    Votes: 40 74.1%

  • 2024, latter half

    Votes: 4 7.4%

  • 2025, first half

    Votes: 1 1.9%

  • 2025, latter half

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • 2026 or later

    Votes: 1 1.9%
  • Total voters
    54
  • Poll closed .
Tokuiten

Tokuiten

Member
Infected with 'Xenoblade'. 御免なさい🙇‍♀️
It's almost a year since we last had a poll like this (you can see the results HERE). Since things have been heating up lately with both Jeff Grubb hinting at things and a Chinese factory worker, who previously correctly leaked stuff, got removed by Nintendo, I think it's time to gauge once more what the current Install Base-consensus is on the Switch 2's launch date - if there even is a consensus.

Feel free to talk about each others' launch date speculation in here, but for any further debate I'd like to point you to our Switch 2/Pro/Deluxe reveal-to-release speculation-thread where you can go in-depth with anything you wanna talk about in terms of Nintendo's nextgen-system.

-------------------------------------
-------------------------------------
Chinese factory leaker:
famiboards.com

Future Nintendo Hardware & Technology Speculation & Discussion |ST| (Read the staff posts before commenting!)

As a reminder, the leak said the patch was releasing alongside DLC2, not that either of them were releasing alongside the hardware. So whatever winter 2023 or early 2024 means or whatever date it ends up being, that would just be a maximum date for the hardware launch, and it could happen any...
famiboards.com famiboards.com

Jeff Grubb on Switch 2:
 
I could see an announcement in a Nintendo event between September-October and a release in February-May. Basically like the original Switch :p



To this day this trailer still gets me goosebumps!!
 
The console needs at least a year’s worth of lead-time from announcement to release (the minimum that any previous console has had).

So early 2024 is already out of the question now.

Nintendo are fast running out of time for a 2024 release… and I am starting to think that they really are arrogant and stupid enough to attempt a 2025 release at this point… which would be commercial suicide.
 
Betting on 2024 first half. Seems like they are preparing for a reveal this year.

DCSales said:
The console needs at least a year’s worth of lead-time from announcement to release (the minimum that any previous console has had).

So early 2024 is already out of the question now.

Nintendo are fast running out of time for a 2024 release… and I am starting to think that they really are arrogant and stupid enough to attempt a 2025 release at this point… which would be commercial suicide.
Click to expand...
Switch was revealed october 2016 and released not even five months later. They don't need a full year to present it. Just a marketing cycle like with the Switch (Reveal->presentation->release) should be enough
 
DCSales said:
The console needs at least a year’s worth of lead-time from announcement to release (the minimum that any previous console has had).

So early 2024 is already out of the question now.

Nintendo are fast running out of time for a 2024 release… and I am starting to think that they really are arrogant and stupid enough to attempt a 2025 release at this point… which would be commercial suicide.
Click to expand...

That's a weird thing to say when you consider that the Switch was released within five months of reveal.
 
March 2024 is when it's most likely gonna launch. Reveal would most likely need to happen this year.
 
H1 2024 is my guess but I wouldn’t be totally shocked if it was H2 2024. There’s a slim chance it’s coming this year but I think there would be way more noise if it was.
 
DCSales said:
NX was publicly announced in March 2015 (2 years prior to release) so this is patently false.
Click to expand...
In what form though? "Nintendo is working on a nextgen system"?
 
DCSales said:
NX was publicly announced in March 2015 (2 years prior to release) so this is patently false.
Click to expand...

That's also a strange take. NX was not revealed in any meaningful capacity aside from saying they were working on it. Nintendo doesn't need to say they are working on a successor to be working on it, it's not a quantum state that has to be measured to be defined.

That isn't a reveal. It told no one anything. The Switch as a product to sell was revealed five months before release. The NX was basically a bunch of fever dream rumors.
 
So basically Nintendo has already revealed their next gen system because they said that they're working on it.
That's what NX was, a placeholder.
 
It was shortly after the NX was announced that we started seeing dev kits get sent out to 3rd parties. That's the kicker.

Dev kits need to go out well in advance of the release of the hardware and that's not going to happen until the console is publically announced. If developers had such dev kits, they would already have leaked by now, we would have a codename and even some basic hardware details.

Nothing has been sent out, ergo, the console is not going to be ready for release within the year. November 2024 is the absolute earliest we can expect Switch 2 to launch now, and that's looking increasingly unlikely by the day...

The console needs at least a year of public leadtime prior to launch in order to gather support from 3rd party developers and stakeholders (that includes retailers, publishers, the media and associated marketing companies BTW; not just developers). And no, the console is not going to be launched without any games from 3rd party developers, don't be stupid.

Honestly, it's like you're all just completely ignoring how literally every single console in the history of the medium has ever been made and released. Switch 2 is supposed some sort of special snowflake that will go against 40 years of video game console production history for... reasons?

BTB123 said:
So basically Nintendo has already revealed their next gen system because they said that they're working on it.
That's what NX was, a placeholder.
Click to expand...
Yes, the name was a placeholder... Just like Project Reality and Project Dolphin and Project Nitro and Project Revolution and Project Cafe and so on... Why is this a point of contention? Again, announcing a console with a production codename is normal, not doing that would actually be strange for Nintendo!
 
Last edited:
DCSales said:
It was shortly after the NX was announced that we started seeing dev kits get sent out to 3rd parties. That's the kicker.

Dev kits need to go out well in advance of the release of the hardware and that's not going to happen until the console is publically announced. If developers had such dev kits, they would already have leaked by now, we would have a codename and even some basic hardware details.

Nothing has been sent out, ergo, the console is not going to be ready for release within the year. November 2024 is the absolute earliest we can expect Switch 2 to launch now, and that's looking increasingly unlikely by the day...
Click to expand...
????
Just because the devkits have not leaked or Nintendo has not announced the codename for Switch 2 does not mean nothing was sent out. Developers don't get the Devkit when the console's codename is announced to the public, they receive it much earlier.
This is just some strange reasoning to deny an early 2024 release.
 
Didn’t Nintendo already tell shareholders their next system is going to be another hybrid? Seems obvious that would mean they are already working on it.
 
I originally said Early 2024, then moved back to Late 2024, but with all the rumors swirling around that for once look like they might have some actual substance to them, I'm going back to Early 2024.

I guess it's time to start saving $400.
 
First half 2024 lets gooooooo. Can't believe it's already been 6 years since the Switch came out.
 
So much for 'who expected it to launch in early 2024 anyway?' ;/

Due to the recent Direct, I'm now 80% team #Late2024, 15% team #CopingEarly2024 and 5% team #tbone2025orlater.

Either way, this Direct (probably) shattered the IB-consendus lol :D Maybe I'll do a third version of this thread in spring 2024 ... Switch 2 *has to* show itself at some point, right? RIGHT?!
 
Yes this last direct showed us that early 2024 just doesn't look likely. Nintendo isn't going to over shadow their own games releasing in early 2024 with larger titles for Switch 2. They then went ahead and gave us a glimpse deeper into 2024. Late 2024 looks like perfection, nothing major seems to be on the horizon but the February direct will clear more things up.
 
My #copingEarly2024 is based on the hope that the reason for the influx of announcements for Switch 1 is that Nintendo wants to show its customers 'hey, see, despite a new hardware launching, we're not giving up support for your device!'. Maybe having a sw-rich transitioning phase is part of the plan.

Maybe ...
 
Yeah, definitely should've stuck with Late 2024 in hindsight, but hey, that's part of the fun!
 
Unfortunately I can't change my vote anymore but late 2024 has been my pick ever since May 2023 when Nintendo gave their FY3/2024 HW forecast of 15M.

The recent Direct definitely points to the idea that Nintendo has moved their heavy hitters to Switch 2 given that most of the Switch's 2024 lineup consists of remasters/remakes, but I think those remasters/remakes will be enough to carry the Switch.
 
awng782 said:
Unfortunately I can't change my vote anymore but late 2024 has been my pick ever since May 2023 when Nintendo gave their FY3/2024 HW forecast of 15M.
Click to expand...
Same, that was when I changed my mind about March 2024 being most likely when it launches to late 2024.
 
I'm going to go for early 2024 because I think Nintendo have seen with 3DS that remasters wont carry a system at the end of their life. I think they will try their best to release the Switch 2 asap but they are waiting for the software to finalize.
 
I don't buy early-to-mid 2024 as of yet with what we have, personally. I also wonder if Nintendo would prefer a more traditional launch period or if they'd lean in on the strategy that was so successful with the Switch itself in releasing the console during the first quarter after the holiday sales period wind-down. I'll wait for more information, but -as a possibility- I can imagine an early 2025 release with a reveal toward the end of 2024 as a possibility. The software calendar feels far too dense moving toward Q2 to disrupt with such a major announcement.
 
Yeah, I’m fully on late 2024 at this point. They’re gonna ride out this last year with a few marquee titles (probably one or two that hasn’t been announced yet), remasters/remakes, and maybe some more NSO stuff. Probably launch in the holiday with 3D Mario and Prime 4.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top Bottom